Stock Analysis

Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH): Evaluating Valuation Following Major U.S. Navy Wireless Network Contract Win

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding (BAH) just secured a $99 million contract with the U.S. Navy's Military Sealift Command to engineer and maintain advanced wireless networks for civil service mariners. This deal highlights their deepening role in federal technology projects.

See our latest analysis for Booz Allen Hamilton Holding.

While Booz Allen Hamilton’s $99 million Navy contract highlights its momentum in federal tech, the market’s response has been more muted. The stock sits at $83.25, and despite recent major contract wins and plans to relocate headquarters, its 1-year total shareholder return is down 42.27%. Nearer term, the company has seen a sharp 23% drop in its 90-day share price return, pointing to fading momentum. Bold moves in advanced networking and cloud technologies could eventually help restore confidence if execution stays strong.

If big contract wins in defense tech spark your interest, it might be the perfect moment to broaden your search and discover See the full list for free.

With shares trading well below analyst targets and a sizable discount in place, is this a chance to pick up Booz Allen at a bargain, or is the market already factoring in every catalyst on the horizon?

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Most Popular Narrative: 18% Undervalued

Booz Allen Hamilton’s most popular narrative sets its fair value at $101.50, well above the last close of $83.25. The narrative’s projection hinges on a path to recovery, fueled by new technology contracts and embedded sector strengths.

Booz Allen is positioned to benefit from increased federal investment in digital transformation, AI, and cybersecurity, as evidenced by record backlog, major new awards (e.g., TOC-L for the Air Force, CBP cloud migration), and expanded tech partnerships. As procurement normalizes, this is likely to accelerate revenue growth.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know what kind of contract momentum and efficiency gains drive this optimistic price projection? The engine behind this valuation is powered by future revenue and margin forecasts that might surprise you. Curious about the quantitative assumptions embedded in these bullish forecasts? Discover what could make Booz Allen’s next chapter pivotal in the defense tech sector.

Result: Fair Value of $101.50 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent government funding delays and dependence on key contracts could disrupt revenue momentum and test the durability of Booz Allen’s recovery narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this Booz Allen Hamilton Holding narrative.

Build Your Own Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Narrative

If you see the story differently or enjoy diving into the data firsthand, it takes less than three minutes to shape your own investment narrative. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Booz Allen Hamilton Holding research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Booz Allen Hamilton Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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About NYSE:BAH

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding

A technology company, provides technology solutions using artificial intelligence, cyber, and other technologies for government’s cabinet-level departments and commercial customers in the United States and internationally.

Undervalued with mediocre balance sheet.

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