VSE Valuation

Is VSEC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VSEC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VSEC ($87.91) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($569.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VSEC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VSEC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

VSEC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.6x
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VSEC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VSEC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average67.5x
KAR OPENLANE
191.2x93.8%US$1.8b
VSTS Vestis
16.8x14.8%US$2.0b
UNF UniFirst
27.4x10.2%US$3.5b
LQDT Liquidity Services
34.3x27.1%US$678.4m
47.3x57.3%US$1.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VSEC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.3x) compared to the peer average (67.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VSEC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Commercial Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VSEC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.3x) compared to the US Commercial Services industry average (26x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VSEC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VSEC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio47.3x
Fair PE Ratio52.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VSEC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VSEC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$87.91
US$99.33
+13.0%
1.4%US$101.00US$97.00n/a6
Sep ’25US$93.03
US$99.33
+6.8%
1.4%US$101.00US$97.00n/a6
Aug ’25US$84.19
US$99.20
+17.8%
1.5%US$101.00US$97.00n/a5
Jul ’25US$85.59
US$96.80
+13.1%
5.0%US$101.00US$90.00n/a5
Jun ’25US$81.86
US$92.00
+12.4%
6.3%US$101.00US$85.00n/a4
May ’25US$77.63
US$88.00
+13.4%
2.9%US$91.00US$85.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$79.02
US$85.50
+8.2%
4.6%US$91.00US$80.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$75.43
US$85.50
+13.4%
4.6%US$91.00US$80.00n/a4
Feb ’25US$61.99
US$80.25
+29.5%
7.9%US$86.00US$70.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$64.61
US$78.00
+20.7%
7.0%US$85.00US$70.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$61.45
US$78.00
+26.9%
7.0%US$85.00US$70.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$54.06
US$70.50
+30.4%
8.2%US$80.00US$65.00n/a4
Oct ’24US$50.44
US$68.50
+35.8%
3.9%US$72.00US$65.00n/a4
Sep ’24US$57.52
US$68.50
+19.1%
3.9%US$72.00US$65.00US$93.034
Aug ’24US$54.79
US$68.50
+25.0%
3.9%US$72.00US$65.00US$84.194
Jul ’24US$54.69
US$66.75
+22.1%
6.1%US$70.00US$60.00US$85.594
Jun ’24US$48.37
US$66.75
+38.0%
6.1%US$70.00US$60.00US$81.864
May ’24US$42.98
US$57.75
+34.4%
9.5%US$65.00US$50.00US$77.634
Apr ’24US$44.90
US$57.20
+27.4%
8.8%US$65.00US$50.00US$79.025
Mar ’24US$58.10
US$57.80
-0.5%
8.5%US$65.00US$50.00US$75.435
Feb ’24US$56.07
US$57.80
+3.1%
8.5%US$65.00US$50.00US$61.995
Jan ’24US$46.88
US$55.20
+17.7%
10.2%US$65.00US$48.00US$64.615
Dec ’23US$50.24
US$55.20
+9.9%
10.2%US$65.00US$48.00US$61.455
Nov ’23US$47.38
US$55.20
+16.5%
10.2%US$65.00US$48.00US$54.065
Oct ’23US$35.40
US$54.80
+54.8%
10.8%US$65.00US$48.00US$50.445
Sep ’23US$41.36
US$54.80
+32.5%
10.8%US$65.00US$48.00US$57.525

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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