OPENLANE Valuation

Is KAR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KAR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KAR ($19.66) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($48.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KAR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KAR?

Key metric: As KAR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KAR. This is calculated by dividing KAR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KAR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio101x
EarningsUS$20.80m
Market CapUS$2.09b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KAR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KAR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average36.8x
69.3x47.5%US$2.4b
VSTS Vestis
14.9x15.6%US$1.8b
UNF UniFirst
24.5x6.9%US$3.6b
LQDT Liquidity Services
38.4x27.1%US$774.0m
KAR OPENLANE
101x84.4%US$2.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KAR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (101x) compared to the peer average (36.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KAR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Commercial Services Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PGTK Pacific Green Technologies
3.9xn/aUS$31.27m
OMEX Odyssey Marine Exploration
0.7xn/aUS$8.30m
DGWR Deep Green Waste & Recycling
0.9xn/aUS$557.97k
IGOT Fomo Worldwide
0.00007xn/aUS$112.00
No more companies available in this PE range
KAR 101.0xIndustry Avg. 31.1xNo. of Companies9PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KAR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (101x) compared to the US Commercial Services industry average (30.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KAR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KAR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio101x
Fair PE Ratio70.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KAR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (101x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (70.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KAR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$19.66
US$21.17
+7.7%
10.0%US$25.00US$19.00n/a6
Nov ’25US$15.90
US$20.50
+28.9%
11.5%US$25.00US$17.00n/a6
Oct ’25US$16.63
US$20.17
+21.3%
11.9%US$25.00US$17.00n/a6
Sep ’25US$17.33
US$19.83
+14.4%
12.8%US$25.00US$17.00n/a6
Aug ’25US$17.92
US$19.83
+10.7%
12.8%US$25.00US$17.00n/a6
Jul ’25US$16.37
US$19.83
+21.2%
12.8%US$25.00US$17.00n/a6
Jun ’25US$17.25
US$19.83
+15.0%
12.8%US$25.00US$17.00n/a6
May ’25US$17.45
US$19.17
+9.8%
15.8%US$25.00US$15.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$17.16
US$18.50
+7.8%
17.3%US$25.00US$15.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$15.86
US$18.33
+15.6%
17.4%US$25.00US$15.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$14.35
US$18.29
+27.4%
17.2%US$25.00US$15.00n/a7
Jan ’25US$14.81
US$18.29
+23.5%
17.2%US$25.00US$15.00n/a7
Dec ’24US$14.87
US$18.29
+23.0%
17.2%US$25.00US$15.00n/a7
Nov ’24US$13.55
US$18.67
+37.8%
17.4%US$25.00US$15.00US$15.906
Oct ’24US$14.92
US$18.00
+20.6%
17.8%US$25.00US$15.00US$16.637
Sep ’24US$15.82
US$18.00
+13.8%
17.8%US$25.00US$15.00US$17.337
Aug ’24US$15.86
US$18.29
+15.3%
17.5%US$25.00US$15.00US$17.927
Jul ’24US$15.22
US$18.00
+18.3%
18.8%US$25.00US$15.00US$16.377
Jun ’24US$15.01
US$18.00
+19.9%
18.8%US$25.00US$15.00US$17.257
May ’24US$13.69
US$17.57
+28.4%
21.7%US$25.00US$13.00US$17.457
Apr ’24US$13.68
US$17.43
+27.4%
22.9%US$25.00US$12.00US$17.167
Mar ’24US$13.95
US$18.14
+30.1%
21.1%US$25.00US$12.00US$15.867
Feb ’24US$14.92
US$19.00
+27.3%
22.2%US$25.00US$12.00US$14.357
Jan ’24US$13.05
US$19.86
+52.2%
21.8%US$25.00US$12.00US$14.817
Dec ’23US$13.97
US$19.86
+42.1%
21.8%US$25.00US$12.00US$14.877
Nov ’23US$14.84
US$22.50
+51.6%
14.2%US$26.00US$17.00US$13.556

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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