Liquidity Services, Inc.

NasdaqGS:LQDT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$760.3m

Liquidity Services Valuation

Is LQDT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LQDT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LQDT ($25.34) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($41.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LQDT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LQDT?

Key metric: As LQDT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LQDT. This is calculated by dividing LQDT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LQDT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio38.9x
EarningsUS$19.90m
Market CapUS$760.26m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LQDT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LQDT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.4x
MATW Matthews International
27.7x24.9%US$730.1m
HCSG Healthcare Services Group
16.1x16.2%US$845.8m
VVI Viad
41.6x33.2%US$946.0m
CVEO Civeo
16.1x-20.5%US$343.4m
LQDT Liquidity Services
38.9x27.1%US$760.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LQDT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.9x) compared to the peer average (25.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LQDT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Commercial Services Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PGTK Pacific Green Technologies
3.9xn/aUS$31.04m
OMEX Odyssey Marine Exploration
0.7xn/aUS$8.03m
DGWR Deep Green Waste & Recycling
1.1xn/aUS$557.97k
IGOT Fomo Worldwide
0.00007xn/aUS$112.00
No more companies available in this PE range
LQDT 38.9xIndustry Avg. 28.7xNo. of Companies9PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LQDT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.9x) compared to the US Commercial Services industry average (29.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LQDT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LQDT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38.9x
Fair PE Ratio24.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LQDT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LQDT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$25.34
US$27.50
+8.5%
1.8%US$28.00US$27.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$21.59
US$27.50
+27.4%
1.8%US$28.00US$27.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$22.45
US$27.50
+22.5%
1.8%US$28.00US$27.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$21.77
US$27.50
+26.3%
1.8%US$28.00US$27.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$21.98
US$27.50
+25.1%
1.8%US$28.00US$27.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$19.91
US$27.50
+38.1%
1.8%US$28.00US$27.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$19.61
US$27.50
+40.2%
1.8%US$28.00US$27.00n/a2
May ’25US$17.40
US$27.50
+58.0%
1.8%US$28.00US$27.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$18.61
US$27.50
+47.8%
1.8%US$28.00US$27.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$17.99
US$27.50
+52.9%
1.8%US$28.00US$27.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$17.62
US$27.50
+56.1%
1.8%US$28.00US$27.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$17.21
US$27.50
+59.8%
1.8%US$28.00US$27.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$19.76
US$27.50
+39.2%
1.8%US$28.00US$27.00n/a2
Nov ’24US$18.89
US$27.50
+45.6%
1.8%US$28.00US$27.00US$21.592
Oct ’24US$17.62
US$27.50
+56.1%
1.8%US$28.00US$27.00US$22.452
Sep ’24US$17.89
US$27.50
+53.7%
1.8%US$28.00US$27.00US$21.772
Aug ’24US$16.87
US$24.00
+42.3%
16.7%US$28.00US$20.00US$21.982
Jul ’24US$16.50
US$24.00
+45.5%
16.7%US$28.00US$20.00US$19.912
Jun ’24US$15.18
US$24.00
+58.1%
16.7%US$28.00US$20.00US$19.612
May ’24US$13.19
US$24.00
+82.0%
16.7%US$28.00US$20.00US$17.402
Apr ’24US$13.17
US$24.00
+82.2%
16.7%US$28.00US$20.00US$18.612
Mar ’24US$12.66
US$24.00
+89.6%
16.7%US$28.00US$20.00US$17.992
Feb ’24US$15.09
US$24.00
+59.0%
16.7%US$28.00US$20.00US$17.622
Jan ’24US$14.06
US$24.00
+70.7%
16.7%US$28.00US$20.00US$17.212
Dec ’23US$15.79
US$27.00
+71.0%
3.7%US$28.00US$26.00US$19.762
Nov ’23US$17.32
US$27.00
+55.9%
3.7%US$28.00US$26.00US$18.892

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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