Stock Analysis

Should You Think About Buying VSE Corporation (NASDAQ:VSEC) Now?

NasdaqGS:VSEC
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While VSE Corporation (NASDAQ:VSEC) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the NASDAQGS over the last few months. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stockā€™s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Letā€™s examine VSEā€™s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if thereā€™s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for VSE

Is VSE Still Cheap?

According to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. In this instance, Iā€™ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stockā€™s cash flows. I find that VSEā€™s ratio of 25.26x is trading slightly above its industry peersā€™ ratio of 24.82x, which means if you buy VSE today, youā€™d be paying a relatively sensible price for it. And if you believe VSE should be trading in this range, then there isnā€™t really any room for the share price grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since VSEā€™s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of VSE look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:VSEC Earnings and Revenue Growth August 30th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that itā€™s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. VSE's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 78%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? VSECā€™s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we havenā€™t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at VSEC? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If youā€™ve been keeping tabs on VSEC, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for VSEC, which means itā€™s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Be aware that VSE is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those can't be ignored...

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.