Paychex Dividends and Buybacks
Dividend criteria checks 4/6
Paychex is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 4.1%.
Key information
4.1%
Dividend yield
1.5%
Buyback Yield
| Total Shareholder Yield | 5.6% |
| Future Dividend Yield | 4.8% |
| Dividend Growth | 9.5% |
| Next dividend pay date | n/a |
| Ex dividend date | n/a |
| Dividend per share | n/a |
| Payout ratio | 90% |
Recent dividend and buyback updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Sep 17
Paychex: Moderate Growth, Better Price, Still A Buy
Summary Paychex (PAYX) remains a Buy, trading at a significant discount to fair value with a 4% yield and solid growth prospects. Q4 2026 saw 12% revenue growth, 11% EPS growth, and a 70 bps margin expansion, driven by Paycor synergies and organic gains. FY27 guidance calls for 5-6% revenue growth, 8% EPS growth, and a 44% operating margin, with PEO segment expected to outpace overall growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Sep 17
PAYX: FY27 Execution And Stable Employment Trends Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for Paychex has been raised from $139.68 to $144.20 as analysts factor in slightly higher revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher future P/E of about 24.7x, and research commentary pointing to stable employment trends, confidence in the FY27 outlook, and generally higher fair value ranges across recent price target updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Paychex points to a more constructive tone from several bullish analysts, even where official ratings remain neutral or Hold.
Narrative Update • Sep 03
PAYX: AI Execution And Paycor Synergies Will Support Dividend While Risks Remain
Analysts have raised the Paychex fair value estimate from $109.57 to $113.71, reflecting a series of higher Street price targets and expectations that the company can sustain wallet share gains while managing macro noise. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Paychex points to a mix of optimism around execution and wallet share gains, alongside caution about growth pacing and long term revenue trends.Narrative Update • Aug 19
PAYX: FY27 AI Integration And Paycor Synergies Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have lifted the Paychex fair value estimate from $131.32 to $139.68. This reflects a series of higher price targets and commentary that points to confidence in the business trajectory, a revenue growth focus into 2027, incremental benefits from the Paycor acquisition, and limited disruption risk from AI to its core offering.Narrative Update • Aug 05
PAYX: AI And Paycor Synergies Will Test Dividend Support And Execution
Paychex's fair value estimate has been raised by about $4 to $109.57 as analysts factor in a slightly lower discount rate, a modest adjustment to expected revenue growth, and a higher projected profit margin supported by recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Paychex shows a mix of optimism and caution around the stock's valuation, growth outlook, and execution following fiscal Q4 results and the Paycor acquisition.
Narrative Update • Jul 22
PAYX: FY27 Revenue Outlook Will Drive Downside Risk At Current P E
Analysts have nudged the Paychex fair value estimate higher from $90.00 to $95.00. This reflects updated models that incorporate refined discount rate assumptions, slightly adjusted revenue growth expectations, and a modestly higher projected profit margin and future P/E multiple based on recent price target changes and commentary around the FY27 setup, acquisition synergies, and dividend support.Narrative Update • Jul 08
PAYX: FY27 Outlook And Paycor Synergies Will Drive Future Upside
The updated analyst price target for Paychex moves to $131 from $144, reflecting revised assumptions for slower revenue growth, a slightly higher discount rate, stable profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple in line with recent Street research. That research has generally nudged targets into the $98 to $140 range while highlighting the FY27 outlook and Paycor synergies.Narrative Update • Jun 24
PAYX: AI Workforce Tools And Paycor Synergies Will Test Dividend-Supported Resilience
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Paychex higher, with the price target rising from about $102.07 to $105.43 as they factor in potential synergies from the Paycor acquisition, a modestly higher future P/E assumption around 19.7, and the perceived support of the stock's dividend for more defensive investors. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Paychex reflects a mix of optimism around the Paycor acquisition and dividend support, alongside pockets of caution on execution and long term growth assumptions.Analysis Article • Jun 21
Paychex (PAYX) Stock Could Be 3.7% Undervalued Ahead Of Fourth Quarter Earnings
Paychex (PAYX) heads into its June 24 fourth quarter fiscal 2026 earnings release with expectations centered on higher year over year earnings and revenue, putting the stock in focus ahead of the report. See our latest analysis for Paychex. At a share price of $98.24, Paychex has seen a 5.07% 90 day share price return, while its year to date share price is down 9.54% and the 1 year total shareholder return has declined 31.41%. This hints that recent earnings expectations are being weighed...Narrative Update • Jun 07
PAYX: AI Integration And Paycor Execution Will Shape Future Earnings Resilience
Paychex's updated analyst price target edges higher by about $1 to roughly $102, as analysts factor in slightly stronger expected revenue growth, a modestly lower discount rate, and a small uplift in assumed future P/E, partly offset by more conservative profit margin assumptions and a series of recent target cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Paychex has recently leaned cautious, with a wave of target cuts across several firms.Narrative Update • Apr 27
PAYX: AI And Tapcheck Partnership Will Support Post Paycor Integration Concerns
The analyst price target for Paychex has been trimmed by about $0.27, reflecting a wave of recent target cuts from multiple firms as analysts factor in choppy macro conditions and the ongoing integration of Paycor into their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Paychex shows a clear reset in expectations, with several firms cutting their price targets and one new initiation at a neutral stance.Narrative Update • Apr 10
PAYX: AI Tools And Buybacks Will Support Post Paycor Integration Concerns
Analysts have nudged their blended price target on Paychex slightly lower to $101.20 from $102.80 as they factor in a higher discount rate, modestly different revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a slightly reduced future P/E multiple, following a series of recent target cuts and cautious research notes. Analyst Commentary Recent research has leaned cautious on Paychex, with several firms trimming price targets and a few initiating more conservative ratings as they reassess growth, profitability and the integration of Paycor.New Narrative • Mar 28
AI Rollout And PEO Demand Will Support Steady Outlook Despite Integration Risks
Catalysts About Paychex Paychex provides HR, payroll, benefits and PEO solutions to businesses of various sizes, with a large small business client base. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Mar 27
PAYX: AI Upgrades And Buybacks Will Offset Paycor Integration Concerns
Paychex's analyst price target has been reset lower to about $103 from roughly $117, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E multiple, partly offset by expectations for stable profitability and ongoing integration of Paycor. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Paychex has centered on recalibrated price targets, with several firms adjusting their models to reflect more tempered revenue expectations, a higher discount rate, and lower assumed future P/E multiples.New Narrative • Mar 13
AI Adoption And HCM Data Scale Will Reshape This Payroll Leader’s Long-Term Potential
Catalysts About Paychex Paychex provides payroll, HR, benefits and HCM technology solutions to small and midsize businesses across its Paychex Flex, SurePayroll and Paycor platforms. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Mar 12
PAYX: AI Automation And Buybacks Will Offset Defensive Competitive Concerns Over Time
Analysts have reduced their Paychex price target by about $2 to reflect slightly lower fair value estimates, higher required returns, and modestly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following recent bearish initiations and cautious commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has leaned cautious on Paychex, with new coverage framing recent moves, including the Paycor stake, as largely defensive rather than a clear growth accelerator.Narrative Update • Feb 26
PAYX: AI And Buybacks Will Counter Defensive Competitive Pressures Over Time
Analysts have trimmed their Paychex price target slightly to about $119 per share, reflecting modest adjustments to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions following new bearish coverage that characterizes recent competitive moves as largely defensive. Analyst Commentary Recent research frames the latest competitive response, including the Paycor related move, as more defensive than opportunistic.Narrative Update • Feb 11
PAYX: AI And Buybacks Will Support Resilient Future Cash Flow Profile
Analysts have trimmed their average Paychex price target slightly to about $119.53 from roughly $120.20, reflecting a modestly lower assumed future P/E and fresh bearish initiation commentary that characterizes the recent Paycor acquisition as a largely defensive move. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary focuses heavily on the Paycor acquisition and how it feeds into expectations for Paychex valuation and execution.Narrative Update • Jan 27
PAYX: AI And Platform Partnerships Will Support Resilient Cash Flow Profile
Analysts have trimmed their Paychex fair value estimate from about US$122 to roughly US$120, reflecting slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a modestly lower future P/E and a mild uptick in the discount rate after recent bearish initiations on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on the implications of Paychex's move toward Paycor and how that fits with the current fair value reassessment.Narrative Update • Jan 11
PAYX: Broader Suite And AI Will Confront Cyclical Labor And Rate Risks
Analysts have made a modest upward adjustment to their price target on Paychex, pointing to the broader solution suite following the Paycor acquisition, while also flagging cyclical risks tied to potential revenue softness if unemployment rises and interest rates move lower. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the Paycor acquisition as a way for Paychex to offer a broader and more comprehensive suite of solutions, which they see as supportive of the current valuation range.Analysis Article • Jan 07
Should You Investigate Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX) At US$111?
Let's talk about the popular Paychex, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PAYX ). The company's shares received a lot of attention from a...Narrative Update • Dec 25
PAYX: AI And Suite Expansion Will Navigate Cyclical Labor Uncertainty Ahead
Analysts have modestly reduced their Paychex fair value estimate by about $6 to roughly $122 per share, reflecting tempered expectations for revenue growth and future valuation multiples, despite resilient margins and a broader solution suite. Analyst Commentary Street research on Paychex reflects a generally balanced stance, with most firms maintaining neutral or modestly cautious ratings while making incremental target price adjustments.Narrative Update • Dec 11
PAYX: Acquisition Synergy Will Support Suite Expansion Amid Cyclical Labor Market Uncertainty
Analysts modestly reduced their fair value estimate for Paychex to approximately $128 from about $134 per share, citing slightly softer assumptions for long term revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation multiples amid heightened macroeconomic and labor market uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Street research on Paychex reflects a generally cautious, wait and see stance, with most firms maintaining neutral or Hold type ratings while trimming price targets.Narrative Update • Nov 27
PAYX: Acquisition Synergy Will Boost Solution Suite And Support Margin Resilience
The analyst price target for Paychex has edged down slightly, with the fair value estimate decreasing by $0.57 to $134.14. Analysts cite ongoing macroeconomic concerns and mixed signals from recent earnings results as key factors behind the adjustment.Narrative Update • Nov 05
PAYX: Acquisition Will Drive Broader Solution Suite And Support Margins Going Forward
The analyst price target for Paychex has shifted slightly lower, down by $0.52 to $134.71. Analysts see a stable but cautious outlook due to ongoing macroeconomic concerns and modest revenue growth expectations.Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analyst Commentary Highlights Balanced Views on Paychex Amid Subtle Valuation and Growth Adjustments
The analyst price target for Paychex edged up slightly to $135.23 from $135.15, as analysts balanced lower organic growth expectations and macroeconomic uncertainty with the company's resilient margins and cash flow profile. Analyst Commentary Analyst opinions on Paychex reflect a range of perspectives, balancing the company’s strong margins and free cash flow with concerns about cyclical pressures and growth variability.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Paycor Acquisition And AI Tools Will Redefine HCM Solutions
The analyst price target for Paychex has been lowered from approximately $145.08 to $135.15. Analysts cite ongoing revenue growth headwinds, a premium valuation, and a balanced risk/reward outlook in a challenging operating environment.Narrative Update • Sep 23
Paycor Acquisition And AI Tools Will Redefine HCM Solutions
Paychex’s consensus price target was revised slightly lower to $145.08 as analysts cite slower organic revenue growth, lack of FY26 guidance clarity, and a subdued sector outlook amid macroeconomic headwinds, suggesting shares may remain range-bound. Analyst Commentary Slower organic revenue growth in Management Solutions, partly attributed to integration distractions, is weighing on near-term performance and expectations.Narrative Update • Sep 04
Paycor Acquisition And AI Tools Will Redefine HCM Solutions
Paychex’s analyst price target remained unchanged at $147.33 as mixed sentiment—driven by weaker-than-expected Q4 results, softer revenue growth, integration concerns surrounding the Paycor deal, and uncertainty over FY26 projections—was offset by a stable client base and resilient underlying demand. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts highlight weaker-than-expected Q4 and softer organic revenue growth, with Paychex’s fiscal 2026 guidance falling below investor expectations.Seeking Alpha • Mar 24
Paychex: Accelerating Growth With Paycor
Summary Paychex shares trade at a premium, supported by organic growth and the Paycor acquisition, despite economic cyclicality concerns. Paychex's technology-driven growth in human capital management targets a $90 billion market, with strong client retention and consistent revenue growth. The Paycor acquisition adds 50,000 larger clients, with huge synergy potential amidst lackluster margins reported. At 27 times earnings, Paychex must deliver on integration and synergies. I'm waiting for more impact clues before reconsidering my neutral stance. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaStability and Growth of Payments
Fetching dividends data
Stable Dividend: PAYX's dividends per share have been stable in the past 10 years.
Growing Dividend: PAYX's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.
Dividend Yield vs Market
| Paychex Dividend Yield vs Market |
|---|
| Segment | Dividend Yield |
|---|---|
| Company (PAYX) | 4.1% |
| Market Bottom 25% (US) | 1.4% |
| Market Top 25% (US) | 4.2% |
| Industry Average (Professional Services) | 2.3% |
| Analyst forecast (PAYX) (up to 3 years) | 4.8% |
Notable Dividend: PAYX's dividend (4.1%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.38%).
High Dividend: PAYX's dividend (4.1%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.18%).
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: With its high payout ratio (90.3%), PAYX's dividend payments are not well covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: With its reasonable cash payout ratio (73%), PAYX's dividend payments are covered by cash flows.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/18 04:23 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/18 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/05/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/05/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Paychex, Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Mark Marcon | Baird |
| Lisa Dejong Ellis | Bernstein |