Stock Analysis

Investors Could Be Concerned With MillerKnoll's (NASDAQ:MLKN) Returns On Capital

NasdaqGS:MLKN
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If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at MillerKnoll (NASDAQ:MLKN), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on MillerKnoll is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.071 = US$260m ÷ (US$4.4b - US$733m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Therefore, MillerKnoll has an ROCE of 7.1%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Commercial Services industry average of 8.5%.

Check out our latest analysis for MillerKnoll

roce
NasdaqGS:MLKN Return on Capital Employed June 8th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for MillerKnoll compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering MillerKnoll here for free.

SWOT Analysis for MillerKnoll

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by earnings.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Commercial Services market.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the American market.
  • Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
  • Significant insider buying over the past 3 months.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
  • Dividends are not covered by cash flow.
  • Annual revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

When we looked at the ROCE trend at MillerKnoll, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 7.1% from 19% five years ago. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

The Key Takeaway

Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for MillerKnoll. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 51% in the last five years. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.

If you'd like to know more about MillerKnoll, we've spotted 3 warning signs, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

While MillerKnoll may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.