Komatsu Ltd.

OTCPK:KMTU.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$32.9b

Komatsu Valuation

Is KMTU.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of KMTU.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: KMTU.F ($36.1) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($45.22)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: KMTU.F is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KMTU.F?

Key metric: As KMTU.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KMTU.F. This is calculated by dividing KMTU.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KMTU.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.4x
EarningsJP¥413.29b
Market CapJP¥5.12t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KMTU.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KMTU.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.4x
WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies
33.5x13.92%US$39.3b
PCAR PACCAR
23.8x15.47%US$64.1b
CMI Cummins
29.6x16.57%US$78.9b
OSK Oshkosh
14.6x11.45%US$9.7b
KMTU.F Komatsu
12.4x3.46%US$5.1t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KMTU.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the peer average (25.4x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KMTU.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WNC Wabash National
1.6x-118.35%US$412.05m
RAIL FreightCar America
2.6x-12.49%US$209.49m
FATH Fathom Digital Manufacturing
2.6xn/aUS$35.24m
GTEC Greenland Technologies Holding
1.5x-16.11%US$21.57m
No more companies available in this PE range
KMTU.F 12.4xIndustry Avg. 27.1xNo. of Companies17PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KMTU.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (27.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KMTU.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KMTU.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.4x
Fair PE Ratio26.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KMTU.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KMTU.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$36.10
US$32.16
-10.92%
6.65%US$35.94US$29.01n/a12
Jan ’27US$31.66
US$32.70
+3.29%
6.59%US$36.61US$29.54n/a12
Dec ’26US$32.80
US$32.98
+0.55%
8.88%US$38.42US$27.54n/a12
Nov ’26US$34.01
US$33.16
-2.51%
10.87%US$38.94US$27.26n/a12
Oct ’26US$34.81
US$34.60
-0.60%
10.52%US$40.71US$28.50n/a12
Sep ’26US$34.50
US$34.22
-0.81%
9.14%US$40.08US$28.49n/a11
Aug ’26US$32.30
US$33.67
+4.25%
10.07%US$38.80US$25.77n/a11
Jul ’26US$32.87
US$33.22
+1.09%
10.34%US$39.38US$26.16n/a11
Jun ’26US$30.81
US$33.83
+9.80%
10.61%US$41.19US$26.67n/a11
May ’26US$28.95
US$33.19
+14.64%
9.95%US$40.34US$27.49n/a11
Apr ’26US$28.92
US$33.19
+14.75%
9.80%US$39.14US$26.67n/a11
Mar ’26US$31.38
US$32.10
+2.28%
12.56%US$39.00US$26.58n/a11
Feb ’26US$30.49
US$29.87
-2.04%
13.24%US$34.24US$22.57n/a11
Jan ’26US$27.15
US$30.30
+11.62%
15.61%US$35.54US$21.72US$31.6612
Dec ’25US$27.20
US$30.52
+12.20%
16.34%US$36.75US$22.05US$32.8011
Nov ’25US$26.14
US$30.24
+15.68%
17.03%US$36.20US$21.06US$34.0111
Oct ’25US$26.77
US$31.65
+18.26%
16.90%US$37.99US$22.11US$34.8111
Sep ’25US$27.70
US$32.90
+18.76%
13.66%US$37.62US$23.26US$34.5011
Aug ’25US$27.00
US$33.80
+25.20%
9.24%US$38.05US$26.04US$32.3011
Jul ’25US$29.20
US$31.41
+7.58%
11.37%US$36.07US$24.05US$32.8711
Jun ’25US$28.70
US$31.83
+10.89%
11.46%US$36.62US$24.41US$30.8111
May ’25US$29.80
US$31.36
+5.23%
11.52%US$36.14US$24.09US$28.9511
Apr ’25US$29.45
US$30.94
+5.07%
12.67%US$36.32US$22.45US$28.9211
Mar ’25US$28.90
US$29.60
+2.41%
13.12%US$35.22US$22.59US$31.3812
Feb ’25US$28.30
US$29.70
+4.94%
12.04%US$33.97US$23.10US$30.4912
Jan ’25US$26.10
US$30.43
+16.61%
12.17%US$34.75US$23.63US$27.1512
US$32.44
Fair Value
11.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/25 08:58
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/23 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2025/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Komatsu Ltd. is covered by 24 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Tsutomu KijimaBarclays
Joy ZhangBNP Paribas
Kenjin HottaBofA Global Research