GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft

OTCPK:GEAG.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.1b

GEA Group Valuation

Is GEAG.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GEAG.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GEAG.F ($48.33) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($94.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GEAG.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GEAG.F?

Key metric: As GEAG.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GEAG.F. This is calculated by dividing GEAG.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GEAG.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.1x
Earnings€406.56m
Market Cap€7.76b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GEAG.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GEAG.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25x
ESAB ESAB
28.4x9.6%US$7.7b
MIDD Middleby
19.5x10.3%US$7.6b
FLS Flowserve
29.9x24.5%US$8.0b
DCI Donaldson Company
22.4x6.5%US$9.3b
GEAG.F GEA Group
19.1x8.3%US$7.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GEAG.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the peer average (25x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GEAG.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AIRJ AirJoule Technologies
1.9xn/aUS$421.66m
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group
2.8x-46.6%US$78.29m
FATH Fathom Digital Manufacturing
2.6xn/aUS$35.24m
ZEVY Lightning eMotors
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
GEAG.F 19.1xIndustry Avg. 25.0xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GEAG.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (25x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GEAG.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GEAG.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GEAG.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GEAG.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$48.33
US$52.84
+9.3%
7.2%US$57.22US$41.32n/a13
Nov ’25US$49.96
US$53.82
+7.7%
7.5%US$58.79US$41.92n/a13
Oct ’25n/a
US$52.33
0%
7.4%US$58.12US$43.03n/a13
Sep ’25US$48.95
US$50.55
+3.3%
7.1%US$57.07US$42.25n/a13
Aug ’25n/a
US$48.14
0%
10.7%US$56.50US$36.94n/a14
Jul ’25US$40.70
US$47.17
+15.9%
10.3%US$55.84US$36.51n/a14
Jun ’25n/a
US$47.00
0%
9.2%US$51.94US$36.79n/a14
May ’25US$40.11
US$45.62
+13.7%
9.0%US$50.03US$36.19n/a14
Apr ’25n/a
US$46.04
0%
8.9%US$50.79US$36.74n/a14
Mar ’25US$40.89
US$44.71
+9.3%
10.7%US$50.96US$34.70n/a15
Feb ’25n/a
US$44.71
0%
10.7%US$50.96US$34.70n/a15
Jan ’25n/a
US$44.53
0%
11.1%US$51.40US$32.81n/a15
Dec ’24US$36.70
US$44.59
+21.5%
11.1%US$51.29US$32.74n/a16
Nov ’24n/a
US$43.92
0%
11.8%US$55.04US$31.76US$49.9616
Oct ’24US$37.20
US$45.58
+22.5%
11.6%US$55.75US$33.24n/a17
Sep ’24US$37.64
US$46.25
+22.9%
11.8%US$56.73US$33.82US$48.9517
Aug ’24US$41.30
US$48.08
+16.4%
12.6%US$58.39US$34.81n/a17
Jul ’24n/a
US$47.67
0%
12.2%US$57.01US$33.99US$40.7017
Jun ’24US$43.02
US$47.67
+10.8%
12.2%US$57.01US$33.99n/a17
May ’24n/a
US$47.32
0%
11.8%US$54.85US$34.01US$40.1117
Apr ’24n/a
US$45.84
0%
11.6%US$53.20US$32.99n/a17
Mar ’24n/a
US$43.04
0%
11.5%US$50.78US$29.62US$40.8917
Feb ’24n/a
US$44.14
0%
11.4%US$52.08US$30.38n/a17
Jan ’24n/a
US$42.89
0%
11.5%US$51.00US$29.75n/a17
Dec ’23n/a
US$41.76
0%
11.1%US$49.61US$28.94US$36.7018
Nov ’23n/a
US$38.51
0%
12.0%US$46.57US$27.17n/a18

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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