Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

NYSE:SWK Stock Report

Market Cap: US$13.9b

Stanley Black & Decker Valuation

Is SWK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SWK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SWK ($90.12) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($83.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SWK is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SWK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SWK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.1x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SWK's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SWK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.7x
GGG Graco
6.5x6.6%US$14.0b
PNR Pentair
3.4x4.2%US$13.9b
SNA Snap-on
2.9x1.7%US$14.7b
NDSN Nordson
5.9x6.1%US$15.5b
SWK Stanley Black & Decker
0.9x2.1%US$13.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SWK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the peer average (4.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SWK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SWK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (1.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SWK's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SWK PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.9x
Fair PS Ratio1.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SWK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SWK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$90.12
US$93.58
+3.8%
10.1%US$110.00US$78.00n/a12
May ’25US$91.90
US$96.01
+4.5%
10.7%US$110.00US$80.00n/a13
Apr ’25US$95.46
US$95.85
+0.4%
10.6%US$110.00US$80.00n/a13
Mar ’25US$89.57
US$95.85
+7.0%
10.6%US$110.00US$80.00n/a13
Feb ’25US$91.86
US$98.85
+7.6%
10.6%US$118.00US$82.00n/a13
Jan ’25US$98.10
US$96.16
-2.0%
10.9%US$118.00US$80.00n/a13
Dec ’24US$93.78
US$94.93
+1.2%
10.8%US$118.00US$80.00n/a13
Nov ’24US$84.98
US$95.23
+12.1%
10.8%US$118.00US$80.00n/a13
Oct ’24US$83.58
US$99.14
+18.6%
8.9%US$120.00US$86.00n/a14
Sep ’24US$94.45
US$99.67
+5.5%
7.9%US$120.00US$90.00n/a15
Aug ’24US$103.98
US$94.94
-8.7%
8.9%US$120.00US$85.00n/a14
Jul ’24US$93.71
US$92.07
-1.7%
7.9%US$110.00US$76.00n/a14
Jun ’24US$76.14
US$92.14
+21.0%
7.9%US$110.00US$76.00n/a14
May ’24US$86.78
US$92.31
+6.4%
9.5%US$110.00US$80.00US$91.9013
Apr ’24US$80.58
US$94.62
+17.4%
9.7%US$110.00US$80.00US$95.4613
Mar ’24US$83.73
US$95.00
+13.5%
9.7%US$110.00US$80.00US$89.5713
Feb ’24US$91.16
US$85.73
-6.0%
10.3%US$100.00US$69.00US$91.8615
Jan ’24US$75.12
US$86.57
+15.2%
13.6%US$117.00US$69.00US$98.1014
Dec ’23US$82.32
US$86.43
+5.0%
13.7%US$117.00US$69.00US$93.7814
Nov ’23US$76.59
US$94.93
+23.9%
25.8%US$155.00US$69.00US$84.9814
Oct ’23US$75.21
US$118.14
+57.1%
19.9%US$179.00US$90.00US$83.5814
Sep ’23US$87.68
US$118.14
+34.7%
19.9%US$179.00US$90.00US$94.4514
Aug ’23US$97.12
US$133.43
+37.4%
27.2%US$204.00US$90.00US$103.9814
Jul ’23US$107.29
US$153.80
+43.3%
15.3%US$204.00US$110.00US$93.7115
Jun ’23US$114.70
US$156.87
+36.8%
13.7%US$204.00US$110.00US$76.1415
May ’23US$120.15
US$169.47
+41.0%
20.3%US$250.00US$110.00US$86.7815

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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