Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

NYSE:SWK Stock Report

Market Cap: US$13.2b

Stanley Black & Decker Valuation

Is SWK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SWK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$121.59
Fair Value
28.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: SWK ($87.29) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($121.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SWK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SWK?

Key metric: As SWK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SWK. This is calculated by dividing SWK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SWK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio47x
EarningsUS$286.30m
Market CapUS$13.22b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SWK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SWK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.9x
GGG Graco
29.9x8.8%US$14.6b
NDSN Nordson
26.5x9.0%US$12.4b
IEX IDEX
29.2x12.1%US$14.9b
PNR Pentair
26.2x10.5%US$16.3b
SWK Stanley Black & Decker
47x37.2%US$13.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SWK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47x) compared to the peer average (27.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SWK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AIRJ AirJoule Technologies
2xn/aUS$493.10m
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group
2.3x-37.8%US$64.05m
FATH Fathom Digital Manufacturing
2.6xn/aUS$35.24m
ZEVY Lightning eMotors
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
SWK 47.0xIndustry Avg. 22.9xNo. of Companies11PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SWK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (22.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SWK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SWK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio47x
Fair PE Ratio41.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SWK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SWK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$87.29
US$100.40
+15.0%
11.0%US$120.15US$87.00n/a15
Feb ’26US$88.07
US$101.73
+15.5%
13.3%US$135.00US$87.00n/a15
Jan ’26US$80.29
US$103.69
+29.1%
12.2%US$135.00US$89.00n/a15
Dec ’25US$89.45
US$103.69
+15.9%
12.1%US$135.00US$90.00n/a15
Nov ’25US$93.38
US$108.42
+16.1%
14.8%US$152.15US$88.00n/a15
Oct ’25US$109.36
US$105.02
-4.0%
11.4%US$135.00US$88.00n/a14
Sep ’25US$102.36
US$102.72
+0.3%
12.3%US$135.00US$88.00n/a13
Aug ’25US$101.50
US$101.72
+0.2%
13.5%US$135.00US$80.00n/a13
Jul ’25US$77.75
US$91.64
+17.9%
9.6%US$110.00US$78.00n/a13
Jun ’25US$87.17
US$93.17
+6.9%
9.7%US$110.00US$78.00n/a12
May ’25US$91.90
US$96.01
+4.5%
10.7%US$110.00US$80.00n/a13
Apr ’25US$95.46
US$95.85
+0.4%
10.6%US$110.00US$80.00n/a13
Mar ’25US$89.57
US$95.85
+7.0%
10.6%US$110.00US$80.00n/a13
Feb ’25US$91.86
US$98.85
+7.6%
10.6%US$118.00US$82.00US$88.0713
Jan ’25US$98.10
US$96.16
-2.0%
10.9%US$118.00US$80.00US$80.2913
Dec ’24US$93.78
US$94.93
+1.2%
10.8%US$118.00US$80.00US$89.4513
Nov ’24US$84.98
US$95.23
+12.1%
10.8%US$118.00US$80.00US$93.3813
Oct ’24US$83.58
US$99.14
+18.6%
8.9%US$120.00US$86.00US$109.3614
Sep ’24US$94.45
US$99.67
+5.5%
7.9%US$120.00US$90.00US$102.3615
Aug ’24US$103.98
US$94.94
-8.7%
8.9%US$120.00US$85.00US$101.5014
Jul ’24US$93.71
US$92.07
-1.7%
7.9%US$110.00US$76.00US$77.7514
Jun ’24US$76.14
US$92.14
+21.0%
7.9%US$110.00US$76.00US$87.1714
May ’24US$86.78
US$92.31
+6.4%
9.5%US$110.00US$80.00US$91.9013
Apr ’24US$80.58
US$94.62
+17.4%
9.7%US$110.00US$80.00US$95.4613
Mar ’24US$83.73
US$95.00
+13.5%
9.7%US$110.00US$80.00US$89.5713
Feb ’24US$91.16
US$85.73
-6.0%
10.3%US$100.00US$69.00US$91.8615
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
US$100.40
Fair Value
13.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/11 22:46
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/11 00:00
Earnings2024/12/28
Annual Earnings2024/12/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. is covered by 40 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Timothy WojsBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research