Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

NYSE:SWK Stock Report

Mkt Cap: US$13.9b

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Stanley Black & Decker Valuation

Is SWK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SWK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SWK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA13.6x
PEG Ratio1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SWK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SWK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.6x
SNA Snap-on
15.1x-0.2%US$13.8b
NDSN Nordson
27.7x9.2%US$14.2b
GGG Graco
26x8.1%US$12.0b
IEX IDEX
29.5x8.9%US$17.3b
SWK Stanley Black & Decker
84.5x58.0%US$13.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SWK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (84.5x) compared to the peer average (24.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SWK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.0%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SWK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (84.5x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (24.6x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SWK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SWK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio84.5x
Fair PE Ratio64.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SWK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (84.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (64.9x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SWK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SWK ($93.82) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($64.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SWK is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SWK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$93.82
US$90.50
-3.5%
10.6%US$105.00US$69.00n/a14
Jan ’24US$75.12
US$86.87
+15.6%
13.1%US$117.00US$69.00n/a15
Dec ’23US$82.32
US$86.43
+5.0%
13.7%US$117.00US$69.00n/a14
Nov ’23US$76.59
US$93.47
+22.0%
26.0%US$155.00US$69.00n/a15
Oct ’23US$75.21
US$117.73
+56.5%
19.4%US$179.00US$90.00n/a15
Sep ’23US$87.68
US$118.14
+34.7%
19.9%US$179.00US$90.00n/a14
Aug ’23US$97.12
US$133.43
+37.4%
27.2%US$204.00US$90.00n/a14
Jul ’23US$107.29
US$153.80
+43.3%
15.3%US$204.00US$110.00n/a15
Jun ’23US$114.70
US$156.87
+36.8%
13.7%US$204.00US$110.00n/a15
May ’23US$120.15
US$169.47
+41.0%
20.3%US$250.00US$110.00n/a15
Apr ’23US$140.90
US$202.53
+43.7%
15.6%US$250.00US$140.00n/a15
Mar ’23US$158.04
US$216.13
+36.8%
15.6%US$279.00US$145.00n/a15
Feb ’23US$176.14
US$227.64
+29.2%
10.1%US$279.00US$188.00US$91.1614
Jan ’23US$188.62
US$228.07
+20.9%
9.2%US$273.00US$188.00US$75.1214
Dec ’22US$171.07
US$224.29
+31.1%
10.7%US$273.00US$170.00US$82.3214
Nov ’22US$177.99
US$227.79
+28.0%
11.7%US$281.00US$170.00US$76.5914
Oct ’22US$174.87
US$240.08
+37.3%
7.8%US$281.00US$198.00US$75.2113
Sep ’22US$192.50
US$242.38
+25.9%
6.1%US$281.00US$228.00US$87.6813
Aug ’22US$197.05
US$238.64
+21.1%
7.6%US$267.00US$190.00US$97.1214
Jul ’22US$206.44
US$237.29
+14.9%
7.7%US$267.00US$190.00US$107.2914
Jun ’22US$215.89
US$238.64
+10.5%
7.5%US$267.00US$190.00US$114.7014
May ’22US$206.77
US$235.93
+14.1%
6.4%US$251.00US$190.00US$120.1514
Apr ’22US$200.66
US$216.21
+7.8%
7.2%US$250.00US$190.00US$140.9014
Mar ’22US$180.73
US$214.14
+18.5%
7.8%US$243.00US$185.00US$158.0414
Feb ’22US$174.28
US$214.14
+22.9%
7.8%US$243.00US$185.00US$176.1414

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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