Colt CZ Group Valuation

Is CZGZ.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CZGZ.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CZGZ.F ($26.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($50.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CZGZ.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CZGZ.F?

Key metric: As CZGZ.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CZGZ.F. This is calculated by dividing CZGZ.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CZGZ.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.8x
EarningsKč1.21b
Market CapKč35.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CZGZ.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CZGZ.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average69x
CDRE Cadre Holdings
41.5x27.4%US$1.4b
KAMN Kaman
164x75.2%US$1.3b
AIR AAR
37.9x35.3%US$2.4b
DCO Ducommun
32.6x36.2%US$984.3m
CZGZ.F Colt CZ Group
28.8x18.3%US$35.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CZGZ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.8x) compared to the peer average (69x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CZGZ.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Aerospace & Defense Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CVU CPI Aerostructures
2.9xn/aUS$49.92m
ETCC Environmental Tectonics
4.7xn/aUS$30.20m
AWIN AERWINS Technologies
0.002xn/aUS$6.93k
GIGA.Q Gresham Worldwide
n/an/aUS$7.00
No more companies available in this PE range
CZGZ.F 28.8xIndustry Avg. 35.1xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CZGZ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.8x) compared to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average (35.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CZGZ.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CZGZ.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CZGZ.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CZGZ.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$26.90
US$36.05
+34.0%
9.1%US$38.88US$30.65n/a4
Nov ’25n/a
US$37.02
0%
9.1%US$39.93US$31.47n/a4
Oct ’25US$27.65
US$38.42
+38.9%
9.1%US$41.44US$32.66n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
US$34.74
0%
15.5%US$41.05US$27.32n/a4
Aug ’25n/a
US$32.51
0%
14.8%US$39.23US$26.11n/a5
Jul ’25n/a
US$33.36
0%
14.8%US$40.26US$26.79n/a5
Jun ’25n/a
US$33.36
0%
14.8%US$40.26US$26.79n/a5
May ’25n/a
US$32.62
0%
14.8%US$39.37US$26.20n/a5
Apr ’25n/a
US$32.62
0%
14.8%US$39.37US$26.20n/a5
Mar ’25n/a
US$32.62
0%
14.8%US$39.37US$26.20n/a5
Feb ’25US$25.50
US$31.46
+23.4%
12.1%US$38.36US$27.18n/a5
Jan ’25US$25.20
US$31.81
+26.2%
13.5%US$38.63US$27.38n/a4
Dec ’24US$23.50
US$31.74
+35.0%
15.6%US$38.66US$27.40n/a3
Nov ’24n/a
US$30.39
0%
15.6%US$37.02US$26.24n/a3
Oct ’24n/a
US$32.78
0%
13.5%US$39.81US$28.21US$27.654
Sep ’24US$25.38
US$32.78
+29.2%
13.5%US$39.81US$28.21n/a4
Aug ’24n/a
US$32.78
0%
13.5%US$39.81US$28.21n/a4
Jul ’24n/a
US$32.78
0%
13.5%US$39.81US$28.21n/a4
Jun ’24n/a
US$32.36
0%
13.5%US$39.30US$27.85n/a4
May ’24n/a
US$32.36
0%
13.5%US$39.30US$27.85n/a4
Apr ’24n/a
US$32.36
0%
13.5%US$39.30US$27.85n/a4
Mar ’24n/a
US$32.12
0%
13.5%US$39.01US$27.65n/a4
Feb ’24n/a
US$31.15
0%
13.5%US$37.83US$26.81US$25.504
Jan ’24n/a
US$29.08
0%
19.2%US$37.82US$20.81US$25.205
Dec ’23n/a
US$26.56
0%
19.3%US$34.62US$19.05US$23.505
Nov ’23n/a
US$26.56
0%
19.3%US$34.62US$19.05n/a5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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