China Aircraft Leasing Group Holdings Limited

OTCPK:CFRL.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$288.9m

China Aircraft Leasing Group Holdings Valuation

Is CFRL.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CFRL.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CFRL.F ($0.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($0.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CFRL.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CFRL.F?

Key metric: As CFRL.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CFRL.F. This is calculated by dividing CFRL.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CFRL.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.1x
SalesHK$2.11b
Market CapHK$2.25b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CFRL.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CFRL.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
TITN Titan Machinery
0.1x-1.8%US$345.1m
EVI EVI Industries
0.8xn/aUS$285.8m
ALTG Alta Equipment Group
0.1x2.4%US$263.1m
HDSN Hudson Technologies
1.1x1.7%US$271.6m
CFRL.F China Aircraft Leasing Group Holdings
1.1x26.7%US$2.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CFRL.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CFRL.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Trade Distributors Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TITN Titan Machinery
0.1x-1.8%US$345.07m
ALTG Alta Equipment Group
0.1x2.4%US$263.06m
IPW iPower
0.3xn/aUS$22.02m
BYU BAIYU Holdings
0.07xn/aUS$8.94m
CFRL.F 1.1xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies10PS01.22.43.64.86+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CFRL.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the US Trade Distributors industry average (1.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CFRL.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CFRL.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.1x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CFRL.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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