Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Advanced Drainage Systems (NYSE:WMS) Is Using Debt Safely

NYSE:WMS
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (NYSE:WMS) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Advanced Drainage Systems

What Is Advanced Drainage Systems's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 Advanced Drainage Systems had debt of US$1.29b, up from US$908.5m in one year. However, it does have US$457.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$834.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:WMS Debt to Equity History January 25th 2023

A Look At Advanced Drainage Systems' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Advanced Drainage Systems had liabilities of US$439.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.68b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$457.4m in cash and US$388.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.28b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Advanced Drainage Systems has a market capitalization of US$7.36b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Advanced Drainage Systems has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.0. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 15.0 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Better yet, Advanced Drainage Systems grew its EBIT by 107% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Advanced Drainage Systems can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Advanced Drainage Systems produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 72% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Advanced Drainage Systems's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that Advanced Drainage Systems is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Advanced Drainage Systems has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:WMS

Advanced Drainage Systems

Designs, manufactures, and markets thermoplastic corrugated pipes and related water management products in the United States, Canada, and internationally.

Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.

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