Stock Analysis

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:SPR) Revenues Despite 26% Price Jump

NYSE:SPR
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The Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:SPR) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 5.3% isn't as attractive.

Even after such a large jump in price, Spirit AeroSystems Holdings may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x, considering almost half of all companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.1x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for Spirit AeroSystems Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:SPR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

What Does Spirit AeroSystems Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Spirit AeroSystems Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Spirit AeroSystems Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Spirit AeroSystems Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

Spirit AeroSystems Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 20% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 78% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 16% per year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 7.9% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Spirit AeroSystems Holdings' P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Spirit AeroSystems Holdings' P/S

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Spirit AeroSystems Holdings' P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

To us, it seems Spirit AeroSystems Holdings currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Spirit AeroSystems Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Spirit AeroSystems Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.