Is Owens Corning’s (NYSE:OC) Future Growth Already Accounted For In Today’s Price?

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Looking at Owens Corning’s (NYSE:OC) fundamentals some investors are wondering if its last closing price of $52.61 represents a good value for money for this high growth stock. Below I will be talking through a basic metric which will help answer this question.

Check out our latest analysis for Owens Corning

What can we expect from Owens Corning in the future?

Investors in Owens Corning have been patiently waiting for the uptick in earnings. If you believe the analysts covering the stock then the following year will be very interesting. Expectations from 11 analysts are bullish with earnings forecasted to rise significantly from today’s level of $3.336 to $6.23 over the next three years. This indicates an estimated earnings growth rate of 12% per year, on average, which indicates a solid future in the near term.

Is OC’s share price justified by its earnings growth?

Stocks like Owens Corning, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.77x, always catch the eye of investors on the hunt for a bargain. In isolation, this metric can be a bit too simplistic but in comparison to benchmarks, it tells us that OC is undervalued relative to the current US market average of 17.39x , and undervalued based on its latest annual earnings update compared to the Building average of 17.01x .

NYSE:OC Price Estimation Relative to Market, February 21st 2019
NYSE:OC Price Estimation Relative to Market, February 21st 2019

Owens Corning’s price-to-earnings ratio stands at 15.77x, which is low, relative to the industry average. This already suggests that the stock could be undervalued. But, seeing as Owens Corning is perceived as a high-growth stock, we must also account for its earnings growth, which is captured in the PEG ratio. A PE ratio of 15.77x and expected year-on-year earnings growth of 12% give Owens Corning a higher PEG ratio of 1.32x. This tells us that when we include its growth in our analysis Owens Corning’s stock can be considered slightly overvalued , based on fundamental analysis.

What this means for you:

OC’s current overvaluation could signal a potential selling opportunity to reduce your exposure to the stock, or it you’re a potential investor, now may not be the right time to buy. However, basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PEG ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I urge you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Financial Health: Are OC’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Past Track Record: Has OC been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of OC’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.