Moog Inc.

NYSE:MOG.A Stock Report

Market Cap: US$12.7b

Moog Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Moog is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 15.7% and 6.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 13.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 28.9% in 3 years.

Key information

15.7%

Earnings growth rate

13.47%

EPS growth rate

Aerospace & Defense earnings growth18.4%
Revenue growth rate6.1%
Future return on equity28.87%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated10 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article • 15h

Moog (MOG.A) Stock Could Be 22.3% Overvalued Despite Its Defense Growth Narrative

Moog (MOG.A) stock has drawn fresh attention after recent performance figures, prompting investors to reassess what the current share price implies about the company’s aerospace, defense, and industrial exposure. See our latest analysis for Moog. At a latest share price of $401.31, Moog’s recent 30 day share price return of 32.18% and year to date share price return of 60.61% sit alongside a 1 year total shareholder return of 129.61%. This suggests that momentum has been building over both...
New Narrative • Jun 10

Long-Term Defense Backlog And Space Programs Will Support Powerful Future Upside

Catalysts About Moog Moog supplies motion control, actuation and related systems across space and defense, commercial and military aircraft, and industrial markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • Jun 01

MOG.A: Defense Exercise Success And Index Changes Will Shape Steady Outlook

Analysts have modestly reduced their 12 month price target for Moog to $328.25, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate and a slightly lower future P/E multiple, while keeping fair value, revenue growth, and profit margin expectations broadly unchanged. What's in the News Echodyne and Moog reported successful testing of the Reconfigurable Integrated weapon Platform at a U.S. Army exercise, where their combined radar, control systems, and AI detected, tracked, and engaged small unmanned aerial systems in less than 3 seconds (source: Echodyne and Moog announcement).
Narrative Update • May 14

MOG.A: Reaffirmed 2026 Guidance And Index Move Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target for Moog higher from $324.50 to $328.25, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate assumptions, and expected revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Moog reaffirmed earnings guidance for 2026, with expected net sales of $4.3 billion, matching its previous net sales guidance for the year (Corporate guidance).
Narrative Update • Apr 22

MOG.A: Updated Guidance And Index Shift Will Shape Balanced 2026 Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Moog by $54, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. These changes keep the intrinsic value estimate near $324.50 per share.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 20

Moog: This Quiet Defense Winner Still Has Upside

Summary Moog (MOG.A) continues to outperform the S&P 500, driven by resilient demand in aerospace, defense, and space markets. Despite appearing overvalued on median EV/EBITDA, I maintain a buy rating with a raised price target of $366.26, implying 13.5% upside. Moog’s improving free cash flow, reduced net debt leverage, and strong backlog visibility support robust multi-year growth expectations. I expect annual revenue growth of 8%, EBITDA margins near 15%, and free cash flow growth of 42%, with capital intensity tapering significantly. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 05

MOG.A: Rising Aircraft Production And Aftermarket Demand Will Drive 2025 Upside

Analysts have raised their price target on Moog to $290, an increase of $28, citing expectations for strong 2025 performance and ongoing support from rising aircraft production, sustained aftermarket demand, and continued defense recapitalization and replenishment needs. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive view on Moog, with bullish analysts lifting price targets as they reassess the company against sector trends in commercial aerospace and defense.
Narrative Update • Mar 21

MOG.A: FY26 Aircraft Production And Aftermarket Demand Will Support Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target on Moog by $54 to $290, citing expectations for rising aircraft production, sustained aftermarket demand, and ongoing defense recapitalization as key supports for the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a more constructive stance on Moog, with the higher price target linked to expectations around commercial aerospace and defense demand rather than any specific short term trading call.
Narrative Update • Mar 06

MOG.A: FY26 Aircraft And Defense Demand Will Support Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have raised their price target on Moog, increasing it by $54 to $290. This change reflects expectations for continued aircraft production growth and sustained demand in both original equipment and aftermarket segments, as well as ongoing defense recapitalization and replenishment needs.
Narrative Update • Feb 19

MOG.A: FY26 Aircraft Demand And Defense Recapitalization Will Offset Tariff And Cash Risks

Narrative Update on Moog Analysts have raised their Moog price targets by $54 to $290. This reflects stronger confidence in the company’s multi year revenue and earnings outlook, supported by expected aircraft production growth, sustained aftermarket demand, and ongoing defense recapitalization needs.
Narrative Update • Feb 05

MOG.A: FY26 Aircraft Demand And Cash Conversion Will Support Balanced Tariff Headwinds

Analysts have lifted their price target on Moog to about US$324.50 from roughly US$275.25, citing updated assumptions for slightly lower revenue growth, a higher profit margin profile, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to repeated price target increases as a sign that updated assumptions on revenue, margins, and P/E support a higher valuation framework for Moog.
Narrative Update • Jan 20

MOG.A: FY26 Aircraft Demand And Cash Conversion Will Balance Tariff Headwinds

Analysts have lifted their price target on Moog to about $275 from roughly $256, citing stronger confidence in 2026 earnings potential, supported by positive sector views on aircraft production, resilient aftermarket demand, and management's longer term revenue and margin outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher price targets, now referenced as high as $290, as reflecting stronger confidence in Moog's ability to execute on its earnings plans into 2026.
Analysis Article • Jan 06

Is Moog (NYSE:MOG.A) A Risky Investment?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Narrative Update • Jan 06

MOG.A: FY26 Outlook Aircraft Demand And Cash Conversion Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts have lifted their price target on Moog to about $262, up from roughly $240, citing better than expected Q4 results, a stronger FY26 revenue and EPS outlook, and more reassuring free cash flow conversion than previously feared. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates give you a clearer view of how the Street is thinking about Moog today, especially after the latest Q4 print and refreshed FY26 outlook.
Narrative Update • Dec 18

MOG.A: FY26 Outlook And Aircraft Demand Will Drive Balanced Risk Reward Profile

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Moog to $256.50 from $243.00, citing stronger long term revenue growth expectations, a modestly lower discount rate, and confidence in management's above Street FY26 outlook despite margin and cash flow headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to Moog's stronger than expected Q4 performance and management's FY26 outlook as key drivers behind recent price target increases.
Narrative Update • Dec 04

MOG.A: Aircraft Demand And FY26 Outlook Will Support Balanced Upside-Risk Profile

Analysts have nudged their price target on Moog higher to about $243, reflecting stronger long term revenue growth expectations, a modestly richer future earnings multiple, and confidence in the company’s above consensus FY26 outlook despite margin headwinds and only moderate improvement in free cash flow conversion. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a generally constructive stance on Moog, with higher price targets anchored in improving growth visibility and a more confident multi year earnings outlook.
Narrative Update • Nov 19

MOG.A: Aircraft OEM Momentum And Aftermarket Demand Will Support Upside Through Q3

Analysts have raised their price target for Moog to $240 from $215, citing strengthened sentiment in aerospace production and resilient aftermarket demand as key factors for the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Bullish and bearish analysts have weighed in on Moog’s positioning within the Aerospace and Defense sector, highlighting both drivers for growth and potential risks that could impact the company’s valuation and execution in the coming quarters.
Narrative Update • Nov 05

MOG.A: Aircraft Production Momentum And Aftermarket Demand Will Drive Share Performance

Narrative Update: Moog Analyst Price Target Increased Analysts have raised their price target for Moog from $215 to $240. They cite stronger sentiment around aircraft production, robust aftermarket demand driven by continued passenger travel, and supply chain dynamics in the Aerospace and Defense sector.
Narrative Update • Oct 22

Analysts Raise Moog Price Target Amid Strong Aerospace Outlook and Updated Valuation Metrics

Analysts have raised their price target for Moog, increasing it from $222.50 to $228.75. They cited stronger sentiment in the aerospace segment and ongoing resilient demand for aftermarket services, even though there is some uncertainty around defense outlooks.
Narrative Update • Oct 08

Defense Spending And Automation Will Expand Market Presence

Analysts have raised their price target for Moog from $217.50 to $222.50. This reflects minor but positive updates to fair value estimates, supported by stable growth outlook and profitability forecasts.
Analysis Article • Aug 28

Should You Investigate Moog Inc. (NYSE:MOG.A) At US$198?

Moog Inc. ( NYSE:MOG.A ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth of 14% on the NYSE...
Analysis Article • Jul 15

Here's Why Moog (NYSE:MOG.A) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...
Analysis Article • Jul 03

Is Moog Inc. (NYSE:MOG.A) Trading At A 34% Discount?

Key Insights Moog's estimated fair value is US$276 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price of...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 11

Moog Seeing Improved Demand, But Margin Leverage Remains A Key Unknown

Summary Moog's end-market conditions are improving, but valuation already factors in significant future improvements, making the stock a tough call for meaningful undervaluation. Fiscal Q1 results showed mixed performance, with better revenue growth but ongoing margin challenges and particularly weak free cash flow generation. Management's efforts in pricing and portfolio adjustments are positive, but the company's margins and ROIC remain ordinary compared to peers. While Moog's business outlook is strong across commercial aviation, military, and industrial sectors, current valuation assumptions make it a "hold" absent better margin leverage. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 17

Moog Inc.: Temporary Financial Challenges Blur Long-Term Potentials

Summary Modest sales growth (6.19%) and $165M negative cash flow raise concerns about Moog’s financial health. Strong prospects in space exploration and robotics align with growing industries, offering long-term growth opportunities. High valuation, geopolitical uncertainties, and liquidity risks justify a cautious 'HOLD' investment recommendation for Moog. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 22

Moog: Strong Performance And Outlook, But Share Price Lacks Margin Of Safety

Summary MOG.A's historical financial results have shown robust growth post-COVID-19, driven by the aerospace and defense sectors. Additionally, its adjusted operating margins were expanding as well. The company is well-positioned for long-term growth in 6th-generation fighter jets, unmanned collaborative aircraft systems, and new-generation armored vehicles. Strategic initiatives like facility consolidation and European business sales are expected to enhance operational efficiency and allow the company to focus on core business areas. Despite strong performance and a favorable outlook, the current share price lacks a margin of safety. Therefore, I am recommending a hold rating for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:MOG.A - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
9/30/20284,860N/AN/AN/A1
9/30/20274,5833662824424
9/30/20264,3023361933534
3/28/20264,171284310451N/A
1/3/20264,053256215361N/A
9/27/20253,861235128273N/A
6/28/20253,73021638184N/A
3/29/20253,664213-5689N/A
12/28/20243,660219-1435N/A
9/28/20243,60920946198N/A
6/29/20243,56420442200N/A
3/30/20243,50919024185N/A
12/30/20233,4161738188N/A
9/30/20233,316175-38140N/A
7/1/20233,215161-11245N/A
4/1/20233,138169-12134N/A
12/31/20223,072155-3598N/A
10/1/20223,036155107247N/A
7/2/20222,992160100247N/A
4/2/20222,927146191336N/A
1/1/20222,892166211356N/A
10/2/20212,852157164293N/A
7/3/20212,83545215322N/A
4/3/20212,785-4243336N/A
1/2/20212,814-3250331N/A
10/3/20202,8859191279N/A
6/27/20202,943132142240N/A
3/28/20203,02619041153N/A
12/28/20192,980182N/A159N/A
9/28/20192,905175N/A181N/A
6/29/20192,840171N/A185N/A
3/30/20192,791165N/A166N/A
12/29/20182,762138N/A122N/A
9/29/20182,70995N/A102N/A
6/30/20182,65895N/A95N/A
3/31/20182,59294N/A141N/A
12/30/20172,535112N/A211N/A
9/30/20172,498141N/A218N/A
7/1/20172,467136N/A224N/A
4/1/20172,454132N/A259N/A
12/31/20162,433131N/A267N/A
10/1/20162,412127N/A216N/A
7/2/20162,416122N/A288N/A
4/2/20162,437122N/A281N/A
1/2/20162,463123N/A256N/A
10/3/20152,526132N/A335N/A
7/4/20152,574144N/A284N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MOG.A's forecast earnings growth (15.7% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: MOG.A's earnings (15.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (18.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MOG.A's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: MOG.A's revenue (6.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (13% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MOG.A's revenue (6.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MOG.A's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (28.9%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/17 21:51
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/17 00:00
Earnings2026/03/28
Annual Earnings2025/09/27

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Moog Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kristine LiwagBofA Global Research
Kenneth HerbertCanaccord Genuity
Jonathan TanwantengCJS Securities, Inc.