Stock Analysis

MDU Resources Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:MDU) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

NYSE:MDU
Source: Shutterstock

MDU Resources Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:MDU) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 18x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been pleasing for MDU Resources Group as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for MDU Resources Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:MDU Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 31st 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on MDU Resources Group.

How Is MDU Resources Group's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like MDU Resources Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 91% gain to the company's bottom line. As a result, it also grew EPS by 21% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 33% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we are not surprised that MDU Resources Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

What We Can Learn From MDU Resources Group's P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of MDU Resources Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for MDU Resources Group you should be aware of, and 2 of them make us uncomfortable.

If you're unsure about the strength of MDU Resources Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether MDU Resources Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.