Stock Analysis

Terran Orbital Corporation's (NYSE:LLAP) latest 11% decline adds to one-year losses, institutional investors may consider drastic measures

NYSE:LLAP
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Key Insights

  • Institutions' substantial holdings in Terran Orbital implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price
  • 52% of the business is held by the top 11 shareholders
  • Insiders own 25% of Terran Orbital

To get a sense of who is truly in control of Terran Orbital Corporation (NYSE:LLAP), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 29% to be precise, is institutions. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

And so it follows that institutional investors was the group most impacted after the company's market cap fell to US$156m last week after a 11% drop in the share price. Needless to say, the recent loss which further adds to the one-year loss to shareholders of 57% might not go down well especially with this category of shareholders. Also referred to as "smart money", institutions have a lot of sway over how a stock's price moves. As a result, if the decline continues, institutional investors may be pressured to sell Terran Orbital which might hurt individual investors.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Terran Orbital, beginning with the chart below.

Check out our latest analysis for Terran Orbital

ownership-breakdown
NYSE:LLAP Ownership Breakdown January 29th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Terran Orbital?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

Terran Orbital already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Terran Orbital, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:LLAP Earnings and Revenue Growth January 29th 2024

It would appear that 8.9% of Terran Orbital shares are controlled by hedge funds. That's interesting, because hedge funds can be quite active and activist. Many look for medium term catalysts that will drive the share price higher. Our data shows that Armistice Capital LLC is the largest shareholder with 8.9% of shares outstanding. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 6.9% and 6.8% of the stock. Daniel Staton, who is the third-largest shareholder, also happens to hold the title of Vice Chairman. Furthermore, CEO Marc Bell is the owner of 6.4% of the company's shares.

A closer look at our ownership figures suggests that the top 11 shareholders have a combined ownership of 52% implying that no single shareholder has a majority.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of Terran Orbital

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own a reasonable proportion of Terran Orbital Corporation. Insiders own US$38m worth of shares in the US$156m company. It is great to see insiders so invested in the business. It might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying recently.

General Public Ownership

With a 25% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Terran Orbital. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Private Company Ownership

Our data indicates that Private Companies hold 5.1%, of the company's shares. It's hard to draw any conclusions from this fact alone, so its worth looking into who owns those private companies. Sometimes insiders or other related parties have an interest in shares in a public company through a separate private company.

Public Company Ownership

It appears to us that public companies own 6.9% of Terran Orbital. We can't be certain but it is quite possible this is a strategic stake. The businesses may be similar, or work together.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks for example - Terran Orbital has 5 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.

If you would prefer discover what analysts are predicting in terms of future growth, do not miss this free report on analyst forecasts.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.