Stock Analysis

We Think Granite Construction (NYSE:GVA) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

NYSE:GVA
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Granite Construction Incorporated (NYSE:GVA) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Granite Construction

What Is Granite Construction's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Granite Construction had debt of US$299.8m at the end of March 2022, a reduction from US$346.9m over a year. But it also has US$567.0m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$267.3m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:GVA Debt to Equity History May 28th 2022

How Healthy Is Granite Construction's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Granite Construction had liabilities of US$939.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$385.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$567.0m and US$560.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$197.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Granite Construction has a market capitalization of US$1.50b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Granite Construction boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Shareholders should be aware that Granite Construction's EBIT was down 32% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Granite Construction's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Granite Construction has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent two years, Granite Construction recorded free cash flow of 41% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing up

While Granite Construction does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$267.3m. So while Granite Construction does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Granite Construction (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.