Stock Analysis

Will Weakness in Ferguson Enterprises Inc.'s (NYSE:FERG) Stock Prove Temporary Given Strong Fundamentals?

NYSE:FERG
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With its stock down 5.9% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Ferguson Enterprises (NYSE:FERG). However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Ferguson Enterprises' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for Ferguson Enterprises

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) Ă· Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Ferguson Enterprises is:

31% = US$1.7b Ă· US$5.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to July 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.31.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Ferguson Enterprises' Earnings Growth And 31% ROE

To begin with, Ferguson Enterprises has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 16% which is quite remarkable. This likely paved the way for the modest 14% net income growth seen by Ferguson Enterprises over the past five years.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Ferguson Enterprises' reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 25% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:FERG Past Earnings Growth October 23rd 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is FERG worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether FERG is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Ferguson Enterprises Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Ferguson Enterprises has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 34% (or a retention ratio of 66%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

Besides, Ferguson Enterprises has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 32%. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Ferguson Enterprises' future ROE will be 34% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Ferguson Enterprises' performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. As a result, the decent growth in its earnings is not surprising. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.