Stock Analysis

A Fresh Look at EMCOR Group (EME) Valuation After 54% Shareholder Return This Year

EMCOR Group (EME) has delivered a strong performance over the past year, gaining more than 54%. The company’s momentum stands out, especially when you look at its steady revenue growth and consistent profitability, drawing interest from investors.

See our latest analysis for EMCOR Group.

EMCOR Group’s share price has maintained an impressive momentum, with its 1-year total shareholder return topping 54% and its 3-year total return reaching over 430%. The latest surge reflects the market’s growing confidence in EMCOR’s outlook, especially as strong revenue trends and profitability continue to stand out.

If you’ve been intrigued by EMCOR’s trajectory, now is a great moment to broaden your search and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership

But with EMCOR’s shares soaring and recent gains reflecting optimism, is there still value left for new investors? Or is the stock’s stellar performance already factoring in all its future growth?

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Most Popular Narrative: 3.6% Undervalued

With EMCOR Group’s current price of $689.95 narrowly trailing the most popular narrative fair value of $716, the stage is set for big expectations. The consensus reflects a view that the market still sees room to run based on future performance levers.

Robust sector demand, sustainability trends, and digital integration are driving a growing, diversified project backlog. These factors are supporting revenue growth and improved long-term margins. Strategic acquisitions and investment in talent and prefabrication enhance operational efficiency, vertical market reach, and competitive strength despite labor market challenges.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know what justifies such a high price target for EMCOR? This narrative mixes ambitious growth plans with market trends in ways that might surprise you. Discover which financial forecasts and margin assumptions could spark the next phase of value.

Result: Fair Value of $716 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent labor shortages or a slowdown in reshoring initiatives could quickly dampen EMCOR's growth momentum and earnings outlook.

Find out about the key risks to this EMCOR Group narrative.

Build Your Own EMCOR Group Narrative

If you believe there’s more to the story or want to dive deeper into the numbers, you can shape your own EMCOR Group narrative in under three minutes, your way. Do it your way

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding EMCOR Group.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if EMCOR Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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