Stock Analysis

Ducommun (NYSE:DCO) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

NYSE:DCO
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Having said that, from a first glance at Ducommun (NYSE:DCO) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Ducommun, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.058 = US$48m ÷ (US$1.0b - US$181m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to April 2023).

Thus, Ducommun has an ROCE of 5.8%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Aerospace & Defense industry average of 9.8%.

View our latest analysis for Ducommun

roce
NYSE:DCO Return on Capital Employed May 17th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Ducommun's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Ducommun.

SWOT Analysis for Ducommun

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by earnings.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the American market.
  • Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
  • Annual revenue is forecast to grow slower than the American market.

What Can We Tell From Ducommun's ROCE Trend?

In terms of Ducommun's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 5.8% and the business has deployed 67% more capital into its operations. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.

What We Can Learn From Ducommun's ROCE

In conclusion, Ducommun has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. And with the stock having returned a mere 24% in the last five years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

Ducommun does have some risks, we noticed 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

While Ducommun isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ducommun is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.