Ducommun Incorporated

NYSE:DCO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.7b

Ducommun Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Ducommun is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 65.2% and 8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 60.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10% in 3 years.

Key information

65.2%

Earnings growth rate

60.75%

EPS growth rate

Aerospace & Defense earnings growth17.7%
Revenue growth rate8.0%
Future return on equity9.97%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated25 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 25

DCO: Q1 Execution And Aero Recovery Will Balance Restatement Governance Risks

Analysts have lifted their blended price target on Ducommun to approximately $164, reflecting updated models following the company’s Q1 earnings beat and improving commercial aerospace trends, alongside ongoing destocking concerns. Analyst Commentary on Ducommun Recent research on Ducommun points to a generally constructive tone, with price targets raised across multiple firms following the Q1 report and sector model updates, while still flagging a few key risks around end market trends and inventory normalization.
Seeking Alpha Jun 25

Ducommun: Missile Defense And Aerospace Growth Justify A Premium

Summary Ducommun remains a Buy as dual commercial aerospace and defense growth drivers justify higher valuation multiples. DCO’s Q1 revenues rose 8.6% to $209M, with adjusted operating income up 135% and EBITDA margins improving to 16.9%. Missile defense exposure—Patriot, Tomahawk, THAAD—positions DCO for robust medium-term defense demand. Restructuring, improved leverage, and strong cash conversion support a base case price target of $193.10, with potential for 34% upside in a bullish scenario. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Jun 11

DCO: Q1 Execution And Defense Outlook Will Offset Restatement Governance Risks

Narrative Update on Ducommun Analysts have collectively raised their price targets on Ducommun into a range of about $150 to $187, citing Q1 earnings outperformance, better than expected commercial aerospace demand despite ongoing destocking, and updated aerospace and defense sector models that still indicate potential upside following recent selloffs. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a generally constructive stance on Ducommun, with higher price targets supported by Q1 execution and expectations around aerospace and defense demand, while still flagging some execution and end market risks.
Narrative Update May 28

DCO: Vision 2032 And Defense Backlog Will Offset Aerospace Destocking Risks

Analysts have lifted the Ducommun fair value estimate from $146.60 to $164.00, reflecting higher sector price targets after Q1 earnings beats and updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ducommun highlights a broadly constructive tone after the latest Q1 earnings and earlier Q4 results, with several firms revisiting their models and price targets.
Narrative Update Apr 29

DCO: Defense Backlog And Vision 2032 Framework Will Steady Fair Outlook

Ducommun's updated fair value estimate has moved from $143.20 to $146.60 as analysts factor in a series of higher price targets tied to defense exposure, missile program visibility, and recent margin and backlog trends. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ducommun centers on defense exposure, missile program visibility, and margin execution, which together are feeding into higher fair value estimates and revised price targets.
Narrative Update Apr 10

DCO: Defense Exposure And Vision 2032 Plan Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have made a slight trim to the Ducommun price target, lowering it by about $0.40. They are balancing recent target hikes tied to defense exposure, missile demand and margin plans with a modest reset following the latest Citi update.
Narrative Update Mar 27

DCO: Defense Exposure And Vision 2032 Plan Will Drive Long Term Upside

Analysts have nudged the Ducommun fair value estimate higher from $142.00 to $143.60. This reflects recent price target increases that are tied to expectations around defense exposure, missile related demand and updated margin ambitions discussed in recent research.
Narrative Update Mar 12

DCO: Defense Momentum And Vision 2032 Plan Will Shape Upside Through 2026

Narrative Update on Ducommun The analyst price target embedded in our fair value framework for Ducommun has been raised from $130 to $142. This change reflects analysts' higher published targets in the $136 to $155 range, supported by recent commentary around margin expansion, record Q4 revenue and EBITDA, defense program visibility, and the Vision 2032 plan focused on proprietary products and free cash flow.
Narrative Update Feb 26

DCO: Defense Agreements And Sector Momentum Will Shape Risk Balance Through 2026

The fair value estimate for Ducommun has been raised from $121.60 to $130.00 as analysts factor in higher Street price targets and improved visibility tied to long term defense agreements and updated aerospace and defense group estimates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ducommun focuses on higher price targets and updated expectations tied to the defense portfolio and broader aerospace and defense coverage.
Narrative Update Feb 11

DCO: Sector Momentum And Refined Assumptions Will Shape Risk Balance Through 2026

Narrative update on Ducommun The analyst price target for Ducommun has been lifted by $3.80 to $121.60. Analysts point to recent sector wide target increases from firms covering aerospace and defense as support for the higher fair value, as well as a slightly adjusted discount rate and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update Jan 28

DCO: Sector Momentum And M&A Plans Will Shape Risk Balance Through 2026

Analysts have increased their Ducommun fair value estimate from US$111.40 to US$117.80. This reflects updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple in the context of recent sector-wide price target increases.
Narrative Update Jan 13

DCO: Sector Momentum And Accounting Concerns Will Shape Risk Balance Through 2026

Analysts have lifted their price target on Ducommun to about US$111 from roughly US$106, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and a lower expected future P/E, alongside recent sector research indicating momentum in aerospace and defense through the first half of 2026. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher US$125 price target as reflecting confidence that Ducommun can support a richer valuation while still using a lower future P/E, given their updated revenue and margin assumptions.
Narrative Update Aug 08

Defense Modernization And Aerospace Recovery Will Reshape Markets

Ducommun's upward price target revision reflects notable improvements in both net profit margin and revenue growth forecasts, resulting in an increased consensus fair value from $99.25 to $106.25. What's in the News Ducommun dropped from the Russell 2000 Dynamic Index.
Seeking Alpha Apr 22

Duocommun: A Good Candidate For A Multi-Year Compounder

Summary Ducommun (DCO) is a promising investment in the aerospace and defense sector, with strong revenue growth potential despite economic challenges. The company’s diverse product offerings and strong financial position support organic growth and acquisitions, with significant contributions from military, space, and commercial aerospace. DCO's backlog and notable contracts with major players like RTX, Boeing, and Airbus indicate robust future revenue and earnings growth. The recent share price drop presents a compelling entry point, with a near-term price target of $75.50 and long-term growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 22

Ducommun: Revenue Growth, Airbus Strength, And Vision 2027 Progress

Summary Ducommun reported 2.6% revenue growth, driven by military, space, and Airbus programs. Margins improved, with adjusted EBITDA margin expanding to 15.8% and adjusted EPS up 41%. Robust performance in Airbus A220 and A320 programs offset challenges from Boeing’s strike. Boeing’s recovery is expected to support growth in 2025-2026, especially for the 737 MAX and 787. Facility consolidations and operational streamlining are delivering initial savings, with projected annual savings of $11-13M. Defense backlog increased to $592M, driven by demand for TOW missiles and surveillance. Margin improvements align with DCO’s Vision 2027 goal of 18% adjusted EBITDA margin, supported by strong end markets, cost reductions, and improving aerospace production outlook. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 19

Ducommun: Aerospace Growth And Strategic Restructuring Amid Boeing Challenges

Summary Ducommun continues to report revenue growth for 2Q24, driven by both commercial aerospace and military end markets. Additionally, margins expanded, driven by engineered products, pricing actions, and restructuring efforts. Despite ongoing challenges with Boeing and Spirit AeroSystems related to the 737 MAX, it achieved 12 consecutive quarters of revenue growth in commercial aerospace. Additionally, DCO's fuselage skin project for the 737 MAX, expected to start production by late 2024, is expected to bolster the company's aerospace business outlook. While the Boeing strike presents near-term headwinds, DCO's strategic restructuring and cost-saving initiatives, combined with improving production rates, are expected to boost margins and profitability in the long term. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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New Narrative Sep 16

Strategic Moves And Aerospace Focus Set To Skyrocket Efficiency And Earnings

Consolidating facilities and increasing engineered products and aftermarket content are key strategies to boost operational efficiency and net margins.
Seeking Alpha Jul 16

Ducommun: Robust Air Travel Demand And Defence Backlog

Summary DCO's historical financial results have shown consistent top-line growth. However, margins were contracting modestly. For 1Q24, net revenue continued to grow. Additionally, its margins expanded when compared to previous period. DCO's defence backlog is growing, which is a sign that its defence business is growing. Additionally, DCO raised the run rate of the SPY-6 and other defence programmes. Currently, air travel demand is strong, and ICAO forecasts it to continue growing. The robust air travel demand is expected to bolster the DCO outlook. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Apr 21

Ducommun: Management Expects Margin Expansion And Revenue Growth

Summary Although Ducommun's commercial aerospace business faced substantial headwinds given the beginning of the pandemic, demand from the market has continued to recover in recent years. On April 16, 2024, Ducommun's board rejected an unsolicited, non-binding indication of interest from Albion River LLC offering $60 in cash per share. Ducommun's board feels the offer doesn't fully reflect the company's Vision 2027 plan where the company sees meaningful adjusted EBITDA margin expansion and continued revenue growth. I rate Ducommun a 'Buy' and I would own it in a diversified portfolio given the company's growth potential and relatively attractive valuation with forward EV/EBITDA ratio of 9.18. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Apr 17

We Think Shareholders May Want To Consider A Review Of Ducommun Incorporated's (NYSE:DCO) CEO Compensation Package

Key Insights Ducommun to hold its Annual General Meeting on 24th of April Salary of US$959.7k is part of CEO Steve...
Analysis Article Feb 18

Ducommun Incorporated Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

Shareholders might have noticed that Ducommun Incorporated ( NYSE:DCO ) filed its annual result this time last week...
Seeking Alpha Feb 06

Ducommun Stock Is Still A Buy On End Market Growth

Summary Ducommun Incorporated has gained 12.9% since September 2023, outperforming the S&P 500. The company operates in the aerospace industry, serving major companies such as Boeing and Airbus. Ducommun has significant growth drivers, including exposure to commercial airplane programs and increased defense budgets. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 14

Ducommun Aims For A Bigger Piece Of A Growth Pie

Summary Ducommun Incorporated provides engineering and manufacturing services for various industries, including aerospace and defense. Ducommun aims to achieve significant revenue growth and increase its EBITDA through restructuring, cost-cutting measures and accretive acquisitions. The company aims to expand its portfolio and extract more value from that portfolio. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Aug 04

What Does Ducommun Incorporated's (NYSE:DCO) Share Price Indicate?

While Ducommun Incorporated ( NYSE:DCO ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of...
Seeking Alpha Jun 19

Ducommun Is Prepared To Face Current And Potential Headwinds

Summary Ducommun's sales have recovered strongly in 2022 and are expected to continue increasing in 2023 and 2024. Margins remain stable despite ongoing headwinds and are expected to improve as the company is moving production capacity to a lower-cost location. The company's debt is highly manageable as it will sell two facilities and land, and annual savings derived from the restructuring process should more than offset increased interest expenses. This represents a good opportunity for long-term patient investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article May 17

Ducommun (NYSE:DCO) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'll want...
Analysis Article Feb 21

Is Ducommun (NYSE:DCO) Using Too Much Debt?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Seeking Alpha Feb 16

Ducommun Non-GAAP EPS of $0.85 in-line, revenue of $188.3M beats by $3.1M

Ducommun press release (NYSE:DCO): Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.85 in-line. Revenue of $188.3M (+14.3% Y/Y) beats by $3.1M. Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of 2022 was $24.5M, or 13.0% of revenue, compared to $24.4M, or 14.8% of revenue, for the comparable period in 2021. Cash flow from operating activities of $32.1M. Backlog of $961M.
Analysis Article Jan 12

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Ducommun Incorporated (NYSE:DCO)?

While Ducommun Incorporated ( NYSE:DCO ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it led the NYSE...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:DCO - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20281,044931101224
12/31/202796477851035
12/31/20268846073935
4/4/2026841-29-36-23N/A
12/31/2025825-37-49-33N/A
9/27/2025804-544560N/A
6/28/2025793214156N/A
3/29/2025788162337N/A
12/31/2024786222034N/A
9/28/2024781302842N/A
6/29/2024776232643N/A
3/30/2024767182948N/A
12/31/2023757161231N/A
9/30/2023753191537N/A
7/1/202374324-517N/A
4/1/2023730261233N/A
12/31/2022713291333N/A
10/1/2022689132-812N/A
7/2/2022666133523N/A
4/2/2022652137-134N/A
12/31/2021645136-17-1N/A
10/2/202163834-16-1N/A
7/3/202162631-17-2N/A
4/3/202161328-121N/A
12/31/202062929013N/A
9/26/2020658282132N/A
6/27/2020689302440N/A
3/28/202072233N/A41N/A
12/31/201972132N/A51N/A
9/28/201969824N/A33N/A
6/29/201967720N/A28N/A
3/30/201965114N/A34N/A
12/31/20186299N/A46N/A
9/29/201860718N/A41N/A
6/30/201858618N/A45N/A
3/31/201857221N/A33N/A
12/31/201755820N/A35N/A
9/30/201755813N/A43N/A
7/1/201755214N/A47N/A
4/1/201754514N/A51N/A
12/31/201655125N/A43N/A
10/1/2016565-43N/A39N/A
7/2/2016594-57N/A18N/A
4/2/2016635-59N/A26N/A
12/31/2015666-75N/A24N/A
10/3/2015697-5N/A45N/A
7/4/20157248N/A56N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: DCO is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: DCO is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: DCO is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: DCO's revenue (8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (12.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: DCO's revenue (8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: DCO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/28 03:19
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/26 00:00
Earnings2026/04/04
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ducommun Incorporated is covered by 12 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael CrawfordB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Kenneth HerbertCanaccord Genuity
John GodynCitigroup Inc