Stock Analysis

Investors Appear Satisfied With BlueLinx Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:BXC) Prospects As Shares Rocket 25%

NYSE:BXC
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BlueLinx Holdings Inc. (NYSE:BXC) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 28%.

Since its price has surged higher, BlueLinx Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.7x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 18x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, BlueLinx Holdings has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for BlueLinx Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:BXC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 24th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think BlueLinx Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is BlueLinx Holdings' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like BlueLinx Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 73% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 63% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 36% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 13% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why BlueLinx Holdings is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From BlueLinx Holdings' P/E?

BlueLinx Holdings' P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of BlueLinx Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - BlueLinx Holdings has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than BlueLinx Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if BlueLinx Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.