Stock Analysis

Here's Why BlueLinx Holdings (NYSE:BXC) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NYSE:BXC
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies BlueLinx Holdings Inc. (NYSE:BXC) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for BlueLinx Holdings

How Much Debt Does BlueLinx Holdings Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that BlueLinx Holdings had debt of US$291.5m at the end of April 2022, a reduction from US$355.9m over a year. However, it does have US$74.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$217.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:BXC Debt to Equity History July 21st 2022

A Look At BlueLinx Holdings' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that BlueLinx Holdings had liabilities of US$336.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$705.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$74.4m and US$497.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$470.5m.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$751.4m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

BlueLinx Holdings's net debt is only 0.40 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.8 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Better yet, BlueLinx Holdings grew its EBIT by 139% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine BlueLinx Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, BlueLinx Holdings's free cash flow amounted to 30% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

BlueLinx Holdings's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. All these things considered, it appears that BlueLinx Holdings can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for BlueLinx Holdings (2 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if BlueLinx Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.