Builders FirstSource Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 1/6
Builders FirstSource's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -17%, while the Building industry saw earnings growing at 11.1% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 3.4% per year. Builders FirstSource's return on equity is 7.3%, and it has net margins of 2%.
Key information
-17.03%
Earnings growth rate
-8.05%
EPS growth rate
| Building Industry Growth | 13.32% |
| Revenue growth rate | -3.37% |
| Return on equity | 7.28% |
| Net Margin | 1.97% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Builders FirstSource: Still Not The Time To Upgrade To Buy Yet
May 06
BLDR: Margin Resilience And 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Builders FirstSource to $129.22 from $150.00, reflecting a series of reduced price targets across the Street as models factor in a slightly higher discount rate, modestly different revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Builders FirstSource shows a cluster of lower price targets, but the overall tone is not uniformly negative.
BLDR: Margin Resilience And Housing Recovery Are Expected To Drive Upside
Analysts have trimmed the price target on Builders FirstSource to reflect a fair value move from about $126.24 to $120.62, citing updated assumptions for growth, margins, discount rates and P/E that mirror recent Street research, including multiple target reductions and some more constructive views on gross margin resilience. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Builders FirstSource points to a mixed but constructive debate around valuation, execution and growth, with several firms trimming price targets while others highlight support from margins and the housing cycle.BLDR: Margin Resilience Will Drive Upside As 2026 Guidance Sets Earnings Floor
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Builders FirstSource by a few dollars, with recent cuts toward the $93 to $143 range. These changes reflect more cautious assumptions about 2026 housing starts and near term earnings, even as many still highlight the company's margin resilience and competitive position.BLDR: Margin Resilience And Scale Are Expected To Outweigh Housing Headwinds
Narrative Update: Builders FirstSource Analyst Price Target Shift The Analyst Price Target for Builders FirstSource has moved slightly lower, with fair value edging from about $128.10 to $126.24. Analysts are factoring in more cautious revenue growth, slightly softer profit margin assumptions, a higher discount rate, and Street research that trims price targets while still highlighting gross margin resilience and the potential benefits of the company’s scale and services footprint.BLDR: Margin Resilience And Market Share Gains Will Drive Long Term Upside
The analyst price target for Builders FirstSource has been reduced from $171.29 to $150.00 as analysts factor in higher discount rates, more conservative revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple, despite recent research highlighting resilient gross margins and potential market share upside. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Builders FirstSource reflects a mix of caution on housing and remodel demand alongside confidence in the company’s margin profile, scale, and ability to execute through softer conditions.BLDR: Cost Control And Margin Resilience Are Expected To Outweigh Housing Headwinds
Analysts have nudged our Builders FirstSource fair value estimate slightly lower to $128.10 from $130.24, reflecting recent cuts to Street price targets that factor in lighter Q4 results, cautious housing and residential outlooks, and modestly trimmed EPS forecasts, even as cost control and margin resilience remain key parts of the thesis. Analyst Commentary Street research around Builders FirstSource has tilted more cautious after Q4, with several firms trimming price targets and earnings expectations while still pointing to areas of operational strength.BLDR: Housing Affordability Pressures And R&R Recovery Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price targets for Builders FirstSource by a few dollars, reflecting slightly lower modeled fair value and profit margins as they weigh mixed housing and nonresidential trends along with ongoing sector volatility. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Builders FirstSource reflects a mix of optimism about long term positioning and caution around near term housing and repair and remodel headwinds, which is showing up in price target tweaks rather than major rating shifts.BLDR: Stabilizing Margins And Housing Cycle Trough Set Up Balanced Outlook
Analysts have modestly reduced their fair value estimate for Builders FirstSource to $131.00, reflecting slightly lower margin and growth assumptions. This is partially offset by higher future P/E expectations and a mixed set of recent price target revisions from Barclays, RBC Capital, UBS, and Jefferies.
BLDR: Lowered Margin Outlook And Cycle Trough Multiples Will Shape 2026 Rebound Potential
Narrative Update: Builders FirstSource The analyst price target for Builders FirstSource has moved lower, with the fair value estimate shifting from about $118 to roughly $103. Analysts are factoring in updated views on margin expectations, a higher discount rate, and valuation multiples, while also referencing stabilized margins, bottoming fundamentals, and recent Street targets of $143 and $138.BLDR: Stabilizing Margins And Cycle Trough Pricing Will Drive Upside
Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on Builders FirstSource, cutting it by about $8 to roughly $138 per share. They cite a still competitive market even as margins stabilize and fundamentals appear to be bottoming with solid recovery potential.BLDR: Stabilizing Margins Will Support Recovery As Competitive Pressures Ease
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Builders FirstSource, trimming it by $8 to $138 as they factor in a still-competitive market. They also point to stabilizing margins, bottom-of-cycle valuation support near $100, and improving fundamentals with strong recovery potential.BLDR: Margins Will Hold Steady as Cycle Recovery Brings Upside Potential
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Builders FirstSource from $146 to $138, citing stabilized margins and expectations for support at recent valuation lows as the company approaches a cyclical recovery. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates highlight a mix of optimism and caution regarding Builders FirstSource's outlook as the company navigates the current industry cycle.BLDR: Margins Will Stabilize as Market Recovery Signals Strength Ahead
Analysts have reduced their price target for Builders FirstSource by $7, citing stabilizing margins and signs of a bottoming market. They continue to maintain a positive outlook for eventual recovery.Turnkey Market Expansion And Share Repurchases Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have lowered their price target for Builders FirstSource from approximately $140.32 to $139.02. They cite expectations for a "lower for longer" earnings trough and a reduced growth outlook in their rationale.Builders FirstSource, Inc.'s (NYSE:BLDR) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 19% Below Its Share Price
Sep 09
Digital Transformation And Acquisitions Will Shape Future Markets
Consensus analyst price targets for Builders FirstSource remain unchanged at $141.16 as analysts cite weaker housing starts, margin pressure, and cautious earnings outlooks for 2025–26, despite long-term optimism around U.S. housing under-builds and M&A potential. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are forecasting a “lower for longer” trough driven by reduced FY25 and FY26 adjusted EBITDA outlooks, citing a more cautious earnings reset.Not Many Are Piling Into Builders FirstSource, Inc. (NYSE:BLDR) Just Yet
Jul 23Builders FirstSource (NYSE:BLDR) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Jun 23Is Builders FirstSource, Inc. (NYSE:BLDR) Trading At A 43% Discount?
May 22Builders FirstSource: Capitalizing On Considerable Pent-Up Demand
Apr 24Builders FirstSource: Limited Visibility Into Top- And Bottom-Line Recovery
Mar 07Builders FirstSource: Normalization Set To Continue In 2025
Jan 13Builders FirstSource: Near Term Uncertainty Creates Opening In This Long Term Compounder
Dec 31Builders FirstSource: Encouraging Margins But Soft Revenue In Q3
Nov 06Builders FirstSource: Tuesday Drop May Indicate Trouble To Come For Homebuilding
Oct 30Builders FirstSource: Cautious Approach Due To Housing Challenges
Sep 12
Digital Transformation And Critical M&A Poised To Bolster Market Leadership And Shareholder Value
The company's digital platform adoption and focus on value-added services aim to drive future revenue growth and improve operational efficiency.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Builders FirstSource makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 14,820 | 291 | 3,499 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 15,191 | 435 | 3,523 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 15,653 | 594 | 3,509 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 15,944 | 756 | 3,501 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 16,167 | 915 | 3,486 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 16,400 | 1,078 | 3,481 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 16,731 | 1,238 | 3,494 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 17,033 | 1,405 | 3,476 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 17,105 | 1,466 | 3,521 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 17,097 | 1,541 | 3,499 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 17,304 | 1,574 | 3,821 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 18,531 | 1,861 | 3,881 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 20,929 | 2,444 | 3,910 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 22,726 | 2,749 | 3,672 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 23,004 | 2,807 | 3,861 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 22,751 | 2,682 | 3,736 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 21,401 | 2,192 | 3,593 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 19,894 | 1,725 | 3,446 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 17,790 | 1,423 | 3,032 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 14,577 | 896 | 2,588 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 10,946 | 477 | 2,073 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 8,559 | 314 | 1,656 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 7,792 | 215 | 1,625 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 7,477 | 207 | 1,605 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 7,436 | 195 | 1,619 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 7,280 | 222 | 1,585 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 7,333 | 232 | 1,585 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 7,470 | 228 | 1,575 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 7,656 | 218 | 1,565 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 7,725 | 205 | 1,554 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 7,688 | 110 | 1,518 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 7,448 | 77 | 1,487 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 7,202 | 58 | 1,464 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 7,034 | 39 | 1,442 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 6,802 | 88 | 1,410 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 6,669 | 174 | 1,397 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 6,503 | 165 | 1,370 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 6,367 | 144 | 1,365 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 6,276 | 127 | 1,365 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 5,806 | -7 | 1,287 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 4,591 | -33 | 1,033 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 3,564 | -23 | 788 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 2,505 | -10 | 522 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 1,664 | 8 | 326 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: BLDR has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: BLDR's current net profit margins (2%) are lower than last year (5.7%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: BLDR's earnings have declined by 17% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: BLDR's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: BLDR had negative earnings growth (-68.2%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Building industry average (-4.5%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: BLDR's Return on Equity (7.3%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/06 22:04 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/06 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Builders FirstSource, Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Manthey | Baird |
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |
| Reuben Garner | Benchmark Company |