Builders FirstSource Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 1/6
Builders FirstSource's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -17%, while the Building industry saw earnings growing at 11.1% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 3.4% per year. Builders FirstSource's return on equity is 7.3%, and it has net margins of 2%.
Key information
-17.03%
Earnings growth rate
-8.05%
EPS growth rate
| Building Industry Growth | 13.32% |
| Revenue growth rate | -3.37% |
| Return on equity | 7.28% |
| Net Margin | 1.97% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • 16h
Builders FirstSource: Still Not The Time To Upgrade To Buy Yet
Summary Builders FirstSource reported a weak Q1 2026, with net sales down 10% y/y and broad-based declines across segments. BLDR’s cost actions and facility consolidations are positive, but earnings remain under pressure with gross margin down 220 bps and adjusted EBITDA down 42.1%. Demand remains soft, with management citing affordability pressures, muted consumer confidence, and deferred multi-family projects clouding the recovery outlook. I maintain a Hold rating on BLDR, as valuation is not compelling and there is insufficient evidence of a near-term earnings or demand recovery. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 03
BLDR: Margin Resilience And 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Builders FirstSource to $129.22 from $150.00, reflecting a series of reduced price targets across the Street as models factor in a slightly higher discount rate, modestly different revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Builders FirstSource shows a cluster of lower price targets, but the overall tone is not uniformly negative.
Narrative Update • Apr 19
BLDR: Margin Resilience And Housing Recovery Are Expected To Drive Upside
Analysts have trimmed the price target on Builders FirstSource to reflect a fair value move from about $126.24 to $120.62, citing updated assumptions for growth, margins, discount rates and P/E that mirror recent Street research, including multiple target reductions and some more constructive views on gross margin resilience. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Builders FirstSource points to a mixed but constructive debate around valuation, execution and growth, with several firms trimming price targets while others highlight support from margins and the housing cycle.Narrative Update • Apr 05
BLDR: Margin Resilience Will Drive Upside As 2026 Guidance Sets Earnings Floor
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Builders FirstSource by a few dollars, with recent cuts toward the $93 to $143 range. These changes reflect more cautious assumptions about 2026 housing starts and near term earnings, even as many still highlight the company's margin resilience and competitive position.Narrative Update • Mar 21
BLDR: Margin Resilience And Scale Are Expected To Outweigh Housing Headwinds
Narrative Update: Builders FirstSource Analyst Price Target Shift The Analyst Price Target for Builders FirstSource has moved slightly lower, with fair value edging from about $128.10 to $126.24. Analysts are factoring in more cautious revenue growth, slightly softer profit margin assumptions, a higher discount rate, and Street research that trims price targets while still highlighting gross margin resilience and the potential benefits of the company’s scale and services footprint.Narrative Update • Mar 07
BLDR: Margin Resilience And Market Share Gains Will Drive Long Term Upside
The analyst price target for Builders FirstSource has been reduced from $171.29 to $150.00 as analysts factor in higher discount rates, more conservative revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple, despite recent research highlighting resilient gross margins and potential market share upside. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Builders FirstSource reflects a mix of caution on housing and remodel demand alongside confidence in the company’s margin profile, scale, and ability to execute through softer conditions.Narrative Update • Feb 21
BLDR: Cost Control And Margin Resilience Are Expected To Outweigh Housing Headwinds
Analysts have nudged our Builders FirstSource fair value estimate slightly lower to $128.10 from $130.24, reflecting recent cuts to Street price targets that factor in lighter Q4 results, cautious housing and residential outlooks, and modestly trimmed EPS forecasts, even as cost control and margin resilience remain key parts of the thesis. Analyst Commentary Street research around Builders FirstSource has tilted more cautious after Q4, with several firms trimming price targets and earnings expectations while still pointing to areas of operational strength.Narrative Update • Feb 06
BLDR: Housing Affordability Pressures And R&R Recovery Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price targets for Builders FirstSource by a few dollars, reflecting slightly lower modeled fair value and profit margins as they weigh mixed housing and nonresidential trends along with ongoing sector volatility. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Builders FirstSource reflects a mix of optimism about long term positioning and caution around near term housing and repair and remodel headwinds, which is showing up in price target tweaks rather than major rating shifts.Narrative Update • Jan 23
BLDR: Stabilizing Margins And Housing Cycle Trough Set Up Balanced Outlook
Analysts have modestly reduced their fair value estimate for Builders FirstSource to $131.00, reflecting slightly lower margin and growth assumptions. This is partially offset by higher future P/E expectations and a mixed set of recent price target revisions from Barclays, RBC Capital, UBS, and Jefferies.
Narrative Update • Jan 09
BLDR: Lowered Margin Outlook And Cycle Trough Multiples Will Shape 2026 Rebound Potential
Narrative Update: Builders FirstSource The analyst price target for Builders FirstSource has moved lower, with the fair value estimate shifting from about $118 to roughly $103. Analysts are factoring in updated views on margin expectations, a higher discount rate, and valuation multiples, while also referencing stabilized margins, bottoming fundamentals, and recent Street targets of $143 and $138.Narrative Update • Dec 25
BLDR: Stabilizing Margins And Cycle Trough Pricing Will Drive Upside
Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on Builders FirstSource, cutting it by about $8 to roughly $138 per share. They cite a still competitive market even as margins stabilize and fundamentals appear to be bottoming with solid recovery potential.Narrative Update • Dec 11
BLDR: Stabilizing Margins Will Support Recovery As Competitive Pressures Ease
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Builders FirstSource, trimming it by $8 to $138 as they factor in a still-competitive market. They also point to stabilizing margins, bottom-of-cycle valuation support near $100, and improving fundamentals with strong recovery potential.Narrative Update • Nov 27
BLDR: Margins Will Hold Steady as Cycle Recovery Brings Upside Potential
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Builders FirstSource from $146 to $138, citing stabilized margins and expectations for support at recent valuation lows as the company approaches a cyclical recovery. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates highlight a mix of optimism and caution regarding Builders FirstSource's outlook as the company navigates the current industry cycle.Narrative Update • Nov 13
BLDR: Margins Will Stabilize as Market Recovery Signals Strength Ahead
Analysts have reduced their price target for Builders FirstSource by $7, citing stabilizing margins and signs of a bottoming market. They continue to maintain a positive outlook for eventual recovery.Narrative Update • Oct 29
Turnkey Market Expansion And Share Repurchases Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have lowered their price target for Builders FirstSource from approximately $140.32 to $139.02. They cite expectations for a "lower for longer" earnings trough and a reduced growth outlook in their rationale.Analysis Article • Sep 09
Builders FirstSource, Inc.'s (NYSE:BLDR) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 19% Below Its Share Price
Key Insights Builders FirstSource's estimated fair value is US$121 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Builders...Narrative Update • Sep 04
Digital Transformation And Acquisitions Will Shape Future Markets
Consensus analyst price targets for Builders FirstSource remain unchanged at $141.16 as analysts cite weaker housing starts, margin pressure, and cautious earnings outlooks for 2025–26, despite long-term optimism around U.S. housing under-builds and M&A potential. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are forecasting a “lower for longer” trough driven by reduced FY25 and FY26 adjusted EBITDA outlooks, citing a more cautious earnings reset.Analysis Article • Jul 23
Not Many Are Piling Into Builders FirstSource, Inc. (NYSE:BLDR) Just Yet
Builders FirstSource, Inc.'s ( NYSE:BLDR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.8x might make it look like a buy...Analysis Article • Jun 23
Builders FirstSource (NYSE:BLDR) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • May 22
Is Builders FirstSource, Inc. (NYSE:BLDR) Trading At A 43% Discount?
Key Insights Builders FirstSource's estimated fair value is US$190 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Builders...Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
Builders FirstSource: Capitalizing On Considerable Pent-Up Demand
Summary Established a position in Builders FirstSource at $126 per share, with Wall Street analysts projecting nearly $10 per share earnings this year. Builders FirstSource offers value-added services like off-site assembly, reducing labor and material waste, crucial amid long-term construction labor shortages. Largest value-added distributor with 590 branches, benefiting from procurement clout and lower freight costs, and has effectively reduced share count while maintaining modest debt. Despite obstacles like high interest rates and rising costs, Builders' earnings potential is significant, having earned nearly $17 per share in 2022. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 07
Builders FirstSource: Limited Visibility Into Top- And Bottom-Line Recovery
Summary I reiterate my hold rating on BLDR due to ongoing headwinds, including weak housing demand, declining revenue, and shrinking margins. BLDR's 4Q24 results showed an 8% y/y revenue decline, with multi-family revenue dropping 29.1% y/y, and gross margin falling 300 bps. High mortgage rates and a 25% tariff on Canadian lumber imports continue to pressure BLDR's profitability and free cash flow outlook. Despite these challenges, BLDR's valuation remains above its 5-year average, suggesting unwarranted market optimism about a near-term recovery. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 13
Builders FirstSource: Normalization Set To Continue In 2025
Summary Builders FirstSource has seen significant growth through strategic acquisitions, but faces normalization in earnings and margins post-pandemic. Following a 30% share price drop from 2024 highs, current valuations around 11-12 times earnings are reasonable, with potential further earnings pressure seen in 2025. The company continues aggressive capital allocation strategies, including a recent acquisition of Alpine Lumber, but higher interest rates pose challenges for a 2025 recovery. Anticipating volatility and potential buying opportunities on dips, I will look forward to doing so given its strong track record. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 31
Builders FirstSource: Near Term Uncertainty Creates Opening In This Long Term Compounder
Summary Builders FirstSource has shown impressive growth with significant acquisitions, strong cash flow generation, and substantial returns to shareholders through share repurchases. The company faces a mixed outlook due to housing shortages, rising interest rates, and potential inflation from Trump administration policies. BLDR's capital allocation strategy has been effective, with high returns on acquisitions and a focus on share repurchases, enhancing shareholder value. Despite short-term uncertainties, BLDR's long-term prospects remain strong, making it a potential investment, though current share price momentum suggests caution. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 06
Builders FirstSource: Encouraging Margins But Soft Revenue In Q3
Summary Builders FirstSource shares have gained 45% over the past year but are down 10% from their highs due to high mortgage rates weighing on construction activity. Q3 results were mixed, with a 7% revenue decline but optimistic margin data, leading to a 5% share price increase. The company is diversifying into value-add products to reduce price variability and has generated $1.2 billion of free cash flow year to date. I maintain a hold rating on BLDR due to its solid balance sheet, better margins, and potential for share count reduction and tuck-in M&A. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 30
Builders FirstSource: Tuesday Drop May Indicate Trouble To Come For Homebuilding
Summary Builders FirstSource fell by 7% on Tuesday, a week before its Q3 report, potentially reflecting potential investor sentiment shifts and macroeconomic concerns impacting homebuilding demand. With mortgage rates failing to decline and home inventories increasing, there are more signs that builders will pull back on lower new home sales prices. Builders FirstSource risks a significant decline in its profit margins as it loses sales and pricing power if the industry shifts back toward a materials glut. The company has had excellent core growth through accretive acquisitions but faces a potential slowdown with much higher debt and lackluster cash savings. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 12
Builders FirstSource: Cautious Approach Due To Housing Challenges
Summary Builders FirstSource's 2023 net sales declined due to a slowdown in single-family housing starts, which contributed to margin contraction. Softer-than-anticipated single-family and multifamily housing starts, along with affordability challenges, continue to weigh on BLDR's near-term performance. Despite long-term growth potential from acquisition opportunities and addressing the housing gap, current housing challenges and lack of a margin of safety in the share price justify a hold. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Aug 21
Digital Transformation And Critical M&A Poised To Bolster Market Leadership And Shareholder Value
The company's digital platform adoption and focus on value-added services aim to drive future revenue growth and improve operational efficiency.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Builders FirstSource makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 14,820 | 291 | 3,499 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 15,191 | 435 | 3,523 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 15,653 | 594 | 3,509 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 15,944 | 756 | 3,501 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 16,167 | 915 | 3,486 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 16,400 | 1,078 | 3,481 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 16,731 | 1,238 | 3,494 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 17,033 | 1,405 | 3,476 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 17,105 | 1,466 | 3,521 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 17,097 | 1,541 | 3,499 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 17,304 | 1,574 | 3,821 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 18,531 | 1,861 | 3,881 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 20,929 | 2,444 | 3,910 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 22,726 | 2,749 | 3,672 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 23,004 | 2,807 | 3,861 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 22,751 | 2,682 | 3,736 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 21,401 | 2,192 | 3,593 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 19,894 | 1,725 | 3,446 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 17,790 | 1,423 | 3,032 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 14,577 | 896 | 2,588 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 10,946 | 477 | 2,073 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 8,559 | 314 | 1,656 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 7,792 | 215 | 1,625 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 7,477 | 207 | 1,605 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 7,436 | 195 | 1,619 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 7,280 | 222 | 1,585 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 7,333 | 232 | 1,585 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 7,470 | 228 | 1,575 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 7,656 | 218 | 1,565 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 7,725 | 205 | 1,554 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 7,688 | 110 | 1,518 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 7,448 | 77 | 1,487 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 7,202 | 58 | 1,464 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 7,034 | 39 | 1,442 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 6,802 | 88 | 1,410 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 6,669 | 174 | 1,397 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 6,503 | 165 | 1,370 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 6,367 | 144 | 1,365 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 6,276 | 127 | 1,365 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 5,806 | -7 | 1,287 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 4,591 | -33 | 1,033 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 3,564 | -23 | 788 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 2,505 | -10 | 522 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 1,664 | 8 | 326 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: BLDR has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: BLDR's current net profit margins (2%) are lower than last year (5.7%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: BLDR's earnings have declined by 17% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: BLDR's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: BLDR had negative earnings growth (-68.2%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Building industry average (-4.5%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: BLDR's Return on Equity (7.3%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/06 05:58 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/06 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Builders FirstSource, Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Manthey | Baird |
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |
| Reuben Garner | Benchmark Company |