Stock Analysis

Is Barnes Group (NYSE:B) Using Too Much Debt?

NYSE:B
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Barnes Group Inc. (NYSE:B) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Barnes Group

How Much Debt Does Barnes Group Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Barnes Group had US$1.28b of debt, up from US$566.7m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has US$89.8m in cash leading to net debt of about US$1.19b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:B Debt to Equity History April 5th 2024

A Look At Barnes Group's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Barnes Group had liabilities of US$396.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.55b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$89.8m as well as receivables valued at US$413.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$1.44b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$1.78b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Barnes Group's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Barnes Group has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.2 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 2.9 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. However, one redeeming factor is that Barnes Group grew its EBIT at 16% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Barnes Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Barnes Group's free cash flow amounted to 49% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

While Barnes Group's net debt to EBITDA makes us cautious about it, its track record of covering its interest expense with its EBIT is no better. At least its EBIT growth rate gives us reason to be optimistic. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Barnes Group is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Barnes Group (1 is potentially serious) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Barnes Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.