Armstrong World Industries, Inc.

NYSE:AWI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.5b

Armstrong World Industries Valuation

Is AWI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AWI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$164.66
Fair Value
9.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: AWI ($148.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($164.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AWI is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AWI?

Key metric: As AWI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AWI. This is calculated by dividing AWI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AWI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26x
EarningsUS$249.50m
Market CapUS$6.48b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AWI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AWI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.5x
CSWI CSW Industrials
56.8x15.9%US$6.6b
AZEK AZEK
46.8x12.5%US$7.2b
SSD Simpson Manufacturing
22.1x9.4%US$7.1b
TREX Trex Company
32.2x6.6%US$7.6b
AWI Armstrong World Industries
26x11.2%US$6.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AWI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the peer average (39.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AWI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
AWI 26.0xIndustry Avg. 20.8xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AWI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the US Building industry average (20.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AWI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AWI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26x
Fair PE Ratio21.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AWI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AWI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$148.68
US$152.25
+2.4%
5.6%US$163.00US$140.00n/a8
Jan ’26US$141.33
US$151.50
+7.2%
5.9%US$163.00US$140.00n/a8
Dec ’25US$159.83
US$149.75
-6.3%
6.4%US$163.00US$140.00n/a8
Nov ’25US$140.59
US$147.13
+4.6%
9.0%US$163.00US$122.00n/a8
Oct ’25US$133.99
US$135.75
+1.3%
7.1%US$148.00US$121.00n/a8
Sep ’25US$126.76
US$135.75
+7.1%
7.1%US$148.00US$121.00n/a8
Aug ’25US$129.42
US$135.75
+4.9%
7.1%US$148.00US$121.00n/a8
Jul ’25US$111.43
US$124.38
+11.6%
5.5%US$134.00US$115.00n/a8
Jun ’25US$115.80
US$124.38
+7.4%
5.5%US$134.00US$115.00n/a8
May ’25US$114.12
US$120.34
+5.5%
9.8%US$134.00US$94.10n/a9
Apr ’25US$123.24
US$118.79
-3.6%
10.2%US$132.00US$94.10n/a9
Mar ’25US$120.94
US$118.79
-1.8%
10.2%US$132.00US$94.10n/a9
Feb ’25US$102.25
US$99.01
-3.2%
8.8%US$111.00US$84.00n/a9
Jan ’25US$98.32
US$90.44
-8.0%
10.5%US$106.00US$75.00US$141.339
Dec ’24US$86.71
US$88.33
+1.9%
10.2%US$106.00US$75.00US$159.839
Nov ’24US$77.20
US$88.33
+14.4%
10.2%US$106.00US$75.00US$140.599
Oct ’24US$72.00
US$85.11
+18.2%
7.6%US$96.00US$75.00US$133.999
Sep ’24US$76.96
US$86.60
+12.5%
8.8%US$100.00US$75.00US$126.7610
Aug ’24US$77.10
US$86.60
+12.3%
8.8%US$100.00US$75.00US$129.4210
Jul ’24US$73.46
US$84.11
+14.5%
15.7%US$109.00US$69.00US$111.439
Jun ’24US$62.23
US$83.50
+34.2%
15.2%US$109.00US$69.00US$115.8010
May ’24US$67.83
US$84.00
+23.8%
14.7%US$109.00US$69.00US$114.1210
Apr ’24US$71.24
US$85.20
+19.6%
14.0%US$109.00US$70.00US$123.2410
Mar ’24US$77.69
US$86.60
+11.5%
13.5%US$109.00US$70.00US$120.9410
Feb ’24US$80.04
US$89.00
+11.2%
17.6%US$124.00US$70.00US$102.2510
Jan ’24US$68.59
US$95.30
+38.9%
15.4%US$123.00US$71.00US$98.3210
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
US$152.25
Fair Value
2.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/19 02:40
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Armstrong World Industries, Inc. is covered by 27 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Stephen KimBarclays
Matthew McCallBB&T Capital Markets