AZEK Valuation

Is AZEK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AZEK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AZEK ($48.18) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($37.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AZEK is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AZEK?

Key metric: As AZEK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AZEK. This is calculated by dividing AZEK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AZEK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio44.9x
EarningsUS$153.38m
Market CapUS$7.00b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AZEK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AZEK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.2x
SSD Simpson Manufacturing
22.1x9.4%US$7.2b
AWI Armstrong World Industries
24.8x11.2%US$6.3b
TREX Trex Company
31.9x7.4%US$7.7b
WMS Advanced Drainage Systems
18.1x5.8%US$9.0b
AZEK AZEK
44.9x12.6%US$7.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AZEK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.9x) compared to the peer average (24.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AZEK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
AZEK 44.9xIndustry Avg. 22.1xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AZEK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.9x) compared to the US Building industry average (22x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AZEK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AZEK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio44.9x
Fair PE Ratio22.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AZEK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AZEK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$48.18
US$55.01
+14.2%
8.7%US$65.00US$47.00n/a19
Dec ’25US$53.12
US$53.38
+0.5%
6.6%US$58.00US$47.00n/a19
Nov ’25US$44.16
US$50.22
+13.7%
7.1%US$57.00US$43.00n/a19
Oct ’25US$46.70
US$50.01
+7.1%
7.5%US$57.00US$43.00n/a19
Sep ’25US$42.63
US$49.64
+16.5%
8.0%US$57.00US$43.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$43.46
US$51.16
+17.7%
6.9%US$57.00US$44.00n/a20
Jul ’25US$41.30
US$53.32
+29.1%
6.8%US$58.00US$46.00n/a19
Jun ’25US$47.96
US$53.32
+11.2%
6.8%US$58.00US$46.00n/a19
May ’25US$45.70
US$52.77
+15.5%
7.6%US$60.00US$44.00n/a20
Apr ’25US$49.15
US$50.37
+2.5%
7.0%US$58.00US$44.00n/a20
Mar ’25US$48.95
US$49.11
+0.3%
5.4%US$52.00US$44.00n/a19
Feb ’25US$39.99
US$41.11
+2.8%
9.0%US$45.00US$30.00n/a19
Jan ’25US$38.25
US$38.84
+1.5%
9.3%US$45.00US$30.00n/a19
Dec ’24US$35.27
US$37.78
+7.1%
7.4%US$43.00US$30.00US$53.1218
Nov ’24US$26.70
US$36.72
+37.5%
7.5%US$42.00US$30.00US$44.1618
Oct ’24US$29.74
US$37.89
+27.4%
5.7%US$42.00US$34.00US$46.7018
Sep ’24US$34.75
US$37.63
+8.3%
6.3%US$42.00US$33.00US$42.6319
Aug ’24US$32.22
US$32.55
+1.0%
15.6%US$39.00US$17.00US$43.4620
Jul ’24US$30.29
US$29.90
-1.3%
11.7%US$34.00US$17.00US$41.3020
Jun ’24US$24.11
US$29.90
+24.0%
11.7%US$34.00US$17.00US$47.9620
May ’24US$27.38
US$29.55
+7.9%
12.5%US$34.00US$18.00US$45.7020
Apr ’24US$23.54
US$29.15
+23.8%
12.4%US$34.00US$18.00US$49.1520
Mar ’24US$23.74
US$29.15
+22.8%
12.4%US$34.00US$18.00US$48.9520
Feb ’24US$25.00
US$24.70
-1.2%
13.1%US$30.00US$16.00US$39.9920
Jan ’24US$20.32
US$22.90
+12.7%
14.9%US$30.00US$16.00US$38.2520
Dec ’23US$20.21
US$22.45
+11.1%
14.1%US$30.00US$16.00US$35.2720

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 09:20
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The AZEK Company Inc. is covered by 24 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Timothy WojsBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Matthew BouleyBarclays