Stock Analysis

Did GE Aerospace’s New GE9X Engine Deal Just Shift AerCap Holdings’ (AER) Investment Narrative?

  • On October 15, 2025, GE Aerospace announced it had signed a seven-year agreement with AerCap Holdings for lease pool management services supporting the GE9X engine and extended AerCap's role in managing several other major GE engine platforms.
  • This agreement positions AerCap as an integral partner as the GE9X engine nears entry into service, reflecting the growing importance of comprehensive aftermarket support in the aviation sector.
  • We'll examine how this expanded partnership with GE Aerospace could enhance AerCap's service portfolio and reinforce its investment narrative.

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AerCap Holdings Investment Narrative Recap

To own AerCap Holdings stock, investors need to believe in the durability of aircraft leasing demand, the company's ability to adapt to cycles, and the long-term value creation from expanding services. The recent GE Aerospace partnership brings new revenue opportunities from aftermarket engine support, but does not materially change the most immediate catalysts, tight lease rates from supply constraints, or blunt the biggest risk of future oversupply and rate compression as OEM deliveries ramp up in coming years.

One recent announcement that connects with this theme is AerCap’s June 2025 move to enter exclusive negotiations with Air France Industries KLM Engineering & Maintenance for a LEAP engine joint venture. Much like the new GE9X partnership, it reflects AerCap’s push to diversify revenue through ancillary services, a catalyst that could help soften the impact if leasing market conditions eventually turn less favorable.

However, if the strong market for lease extensions and engine demand starts to ease, investors should be aware that...

Read the full narrative on AerCap Holdings (it's free!)

AerCap Holdings' narrative projects $8.4 billion revenue and $1.4 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 1.7% yearly revenue growth and a $1.5 billion decrease in earnings from $2.9 billion today.

Uncover how AerCap Holdings' forecasts yield a $133.12 fair value, a 10% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

AER Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
AER Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Simply Wall St Community members provided just 2 fair value estimates for AerCap, ranging widely from US$133.13 to US$270.79. While some participants see substantial upside, current analyst forecasts warn of declining earnings over the next three years, creating very different expectations for the company's outlook.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on AerCap Holdings - why the stock might be worth just $133.12!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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