Archer Aviation Valuation

Is ACHR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ACHR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ACHR ($3.96) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($1.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ACHR is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ACHR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ACHR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-1.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does ACHR's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for ACHR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.7x
KAMN Kaman
1.9x75.2%US$1.3b
CDRE Cadre Holdings
7x15.7%US$1.4b
EVEX Eve Holding
8.8x11.2%US$1.5b
EH EHang Holdings
37.2x97.6%US$1.2b
ACHR Archer Aviation
3.5x-4.7%US$1.3b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: ACHR is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.5x) compared to the peer average (13.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ACHR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Aerospace & Defense Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPB048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: ACHR is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.5x) compared to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average (2.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ACHR's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ACHR PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio3.5x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ACHR's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ACHR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3.96
US$9.07
+129.1%
26.7%US$12.00US$5.00n/a7
Apr ’25US$4.50
US$9.36
+107.9%
21.5%US$12.00US$6.50n/a7
Mar ’25US$4.55
US$9.36
+105.7%
21.5%US$12.00US$6.50n/a7
Feb ’25US$4.95
US$9.36
+89.0%
21.5%US$12.00US$6.50n/a7
Jan ’25US$6.14
US$9.36
+52.4%
21.5%US$12.00US$6.50n/a7
Dec ’24US$6.30
US$9.36
+48.5%
21.5%US$12.00US$6.50n/a7
Nov ’24US$4.71
US$9.07
+92.6%
27.4%US$12.00US$4.50n/a7
Oct ’24US$5.06
US$9.21
+82.1%
25.9%US$12.00US$4.50n/a7
Sep ’24US$6.46
US$9.21
+42.6%
25.9%US$12.00US$4.50n/a7
Aug ’24US$6.55
US$8.79
+34.1%
30.1%US$12.00US$4.50n/a7
Jul ’24US$4.12
US$8.50
+106.3%
35.7%US$12.00US$3.50n/a7
Jun ’24US$2.99
US$8.42
+181.5%
38.9%US$12.00US$3.50n/a6
May ’24US$2.03
US$8.42
+314.6%
38.9%US$12.00US$3.50US$4.006
Apr ’24US$2.86
US$8.42
+194.3%
38.9%US$12.00US$3.50US$4.506
Mar ’24US$2.90
US$8.42
+190.2%
38.9%US$12.00US$3.50US$4.556
Feb ’24US$2.96
US$8.42
+184.3%
38.9%US$12.00US$3.50US$4.956
Jan ’24US$1.87
US$8.42
+350.1%
38.9%US$12.00US$3.50US$6.146
Dec ’23US$2.58
US$8.42
+226.2%
38.9%US$12.00US$3.50US$6.306
Nov ’23US$2.73
US$8.50
+211.4%
37.0%US$12.00US$4.00US$4.716
Oct ’23US$2.61
US$8.83
+238.4%
32.3%US$12.00US$4.00US$5.066
Sep ’23US$3.46
US$9.08
+162.5%
27.0%US$12.00US$5.50US$6.466
Aug ’23US$4.17
US$8.58
+105.8%
27.0%US$12.00US$5.50US$6.556
Jul ’23US$2.89
US$8.70
+201.0%
29.0%US$12.00US$5.50US$4.125
Jun ’23US$4.27
US$8.70
+103.7%
29.0%US$12.00US$5.50US$2.995
May ’23US$4.61
US$9.50
+106.1%
34.3%US$15.00US$5.50US$2.035

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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