Stock Analysis

Encore Wire Corporation's (NASDAQ:WIRE) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

NasdaqGS:WIRE
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider Encore Wire Corporation (NASDAQ:WIRE) as an attractive investment with its 13.8x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Encore Wire as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Encore Wire

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:WIRE Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 23rd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Encore Wire.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Encore Wire's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 46% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 317% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 0.7% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 13% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that Encore Wire's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Encore Wire's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Encore Wire that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Encore Wire, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Encore Wire might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.