Stock Analysis

Is Sterling Infrastructure (NASDAQ:STRL) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqGS:STRL
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (NASDAQ:STRL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Sterling Infrastructure

What Is Sterling Infrastructure's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Sterling Infrastructure had US$364.2m of debt in June 2023, down from US$442.0m, one year before. However, it does have US$278.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$86.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:STRL Debt to Equity History September 10th 2023

How Healthy Is Sterling Infrastructure's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sterling Infrastructure had liabilities of US$567.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$457.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$278.1m and US$422.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$324.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Sterling Infrastructure has a market capitalization of US$2.42b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With net debt sitting at just 0.37 times EBITDA, Sterling Infrastructure is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 8.3 times, which is more than adequate. On top of that, Sterling Infrastructure grew its EBIT by 39% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sterling Infrastructure can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Sterling Infrastructure actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

Sterling Infrastructure's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Overall, we don't think Sterling Infrastructure is taking any bad risks, as its debt load seems modest. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. We'd be very excited to see if Sterling Infrastructure insiders have been snapping up shares. If you are too, then click on this link right now to take a (free) peek at our list of reported insider transactions.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.