Stock Analysis

What Does The Shyft Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SHYF) Share Price Indicate?

NasdaqGS:SHYF
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While The Shyft Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SHYF) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQGS, rising to highs of US$41.57 and falling to the lows of US$33.90. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Shyft Group's current trading price of US$37.28 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Shyft Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Shyft Group

Is Shyft Group still cheap?

According to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 35x is currently trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 33.58x, which means if you buy Shyft Group today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Shyft Group should be trading at this level in the long run, then there should only be a fairly immaterial downside vs other industry peers. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Shyft Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of Shyft Group look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:SHYF Earnings and Revenue Growth July 19th 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Shyft Group's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in SHYF’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at SHYF? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on SHYF, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for SHYF, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about Shyft Group as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shyft Group you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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