Stock Analysis

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying The Shyft Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SHYF)?

NasdaqGS:SHYF
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The Shyft Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SHYF), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the NASDAQGS over the last few months. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Shyft Group’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for Shyft Group

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What is Shyft Group worth?

According to my valuation model, Shyft Group seems to be fairly priced at around 1.7% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Shyft Group today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $46.19, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Shyft Group’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Shyft Group generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:SHYF Earnings and Revenue Growth February 16th 2022

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Shyft Group's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 72%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? SHYF’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on SHYF, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Shyft Group at this point in time. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Shyft Group, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.