Stock Analysis

What Is Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.'s (NASDAQ:PKOH) Share Price Doing?

NasdaqGS:PKOH
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Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ:PKOH), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the NASDAQGS over the last few months. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s take a look at Park-Ohio Holdings’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for Park-Ohio Holdings

What Is Park-Ohio Holdings Worth?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Park-Ohio Holdings’s ratio of 18.67x is trading in-line with its industry peers’ ratio, which means if you buy Park-Ohio Holdings today, you’d be paying a relatively sensible price for it. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Park-Ohio Holdings’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Park-Ohio Holdings look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:PKOH Earnings and Revenue Growth October 12th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Park-Ohio Holdings' earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in PKOH’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at PKOH? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on PKOH, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for PKOH, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've found that Park-Ohio Holdings has 4 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.