Stock Analysis

Here's Why Mercury Systems (NASDAQ:MRCY) Can Afford Some Debt

NasdaqGS:MRCY
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Mercury Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRCY) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Mercury Systems

What Is Mercury Systems's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Mercury Systems had debt of US$593.9m, up from US$511.5m in one year. However, it also had US$180.5m in cash, and so its net debt is US$413.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:MRCY Debt to Equity History October 21st 2024

A Look At Mercury Systems' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Mercury Systems had liabilities of US$234.4m due within a year, and liabilities of US$671.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$180.5m as well as receivables valued at US$415.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$310.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Mercury Systems has a market capitalization of US$2.05b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Mercury Systems's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Mercury Systems had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 14%, to US$835m. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

While Mercury Systems's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$120m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of US$138m into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Mercury Systems has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.