Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.

NasdaqGS:KTOS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.9b

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Valuation

Is KTOS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KTOS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KTOS ($25.87) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($19.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KTOS is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KTOS?

Key metric: As KTOS is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for KTOS. This is calculated by dividing KTOS's market cap by their current revenue.
What is KTOS's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.5x
SalesUS$1.13b
Market CapUS$3.91b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does KTOS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for KTOS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.8x
SPR Spirit AeroSystems Holdings
0.6x13.1%US$3.9b
HXL Hexcel
2.7x7.5%US$5.1b
AVAV AeroVironment
6x12.4%US$4.6b
MOG.A Moog
1.7x4.2%US$6.2b
KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions
3.5x10.2%US$3.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: KTOS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.5x) compared to the peer average (2.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does KTOS's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Aerospace & Defense Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VVX V2X
0.4x4.8%US$1.55b
LLAP Terran Orbital
0.4x29.5%US$51.22m
SIF SIFCO Industries
0.2xn/aUS$24.72m
AIRI Air Industries Group
0.3x1.8%US$14.34m
KTOS 3.5xIndustry Avg. 2.4xNo. of Companies14PS0246810+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: KTOS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.5x) compared to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average (2.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KTOS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KTOS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.5x
Fair PS Ratio1.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: KTOS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KTOS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$25.87
US$27.64
+6.8%
13.7%US$35.00US$20.00n/a11
Dec ’25US$27.09
US$27.18
+0.3%
13.9%US$35.00US$20.00n/a11
Nov ’25US$22.87
US$26.27
+14.9%
12.9%US$35.00US$20.00n/a11
Oct ’25US$24.82
US$25.45
+2.6%
14.9%US$35.00US$19.00n/a11
Sep ’25US$22.94
US$23.64
+3.0%
9.6%US$27.00US$19.00n/a11
Aug ’25US$22.03
US$23.82
+8.1%
9.3%US$27.00US$19.00n/a11
Jul ’25US$19.74
US$23.64
+19.7%
9.6%US$27.00US$19.00n/a11
Jun ’25US$21.74
US$23.55
+8.3%
9.6%US$27.00US$19.00n/a11
May ’25US$18.19
US$22.40
+23.1%
11.5%US$27.00US$18.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$18.36
US$21.80
+18.7%
10.4%US$25.00US$17.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$18.03
US$21.80
+20.9%
10.4%US$25.00US$17.00n/a10
Feb ’25US$17.24
US$20.60
+19.5%
12.3%US$25.00US$15.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$20.29
US$20.10
-0.9%
10.3%US$23.00US$15.00n/a10
Dec ’24US$19.53
US$19.80
+1.4%
9.3%US$22.00US$15.00US$27.0910
Nov ’24US$17.22
US$17.70
+2.8%
9.8%US$20.00US$14.00US$22.8710
Oct ’24US$15.02
US$17.70
+17.8%
9.8%US$20.00US$14.00US$24.8210
Sep ’24US$16.21
US$17.70
+9.2%
9.8%US$20.00US$14.00US$22.9410
Aug ’24US$15.06
US$16.80
+11.6%
13.5%US$20.00US$13.00US$22.0310
Jul ’24US$14.34
US$16.67
+16.2%
14.7%US$20.00US$13.00US$19.749
Jun ’24US$13.60
US$16.67
+22.5%
14.7%US$20.00US$13.00US$21.749
May ’24US$13.09
US$16.33
+24.8%
17.1%US$20.00US$12.00US$18.199
Apr ’24US$13.48
US$16.10
+19.4%
17.0%US$20.00US$12.00US$18.3610
Mar ’24US$12.69
US$16.10
+26.9%
17.0%US$20.00US$12.00US$18.0310
Feb ’24US$11.98
US$15.45
+29.0%
22.4%US$20.00US$10.00US$17.2410
Jan ’24US$10.32
US$15.85
+53.6%
20.3%US$20.00US$11.50US$20.2910
Dec ’23US$9.72
US$15.95
+64.1%
19.6%US$20.00US$11.50US$19.5310

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 08:19
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/29
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. is covered by 21 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Peter ArmentBaird
Michael LewisBB&T Capital Markets
Yi Hsiao MillwardBenchmark Company