Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 5/6
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -26.7%, while the Aerospace & Defense industry saw earnings growing at 18.4% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 11.5% per year. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions's return on equity is 1.1%, and it has net margins of 1.6%.
Key information
-26.70%
Earnings growth rate
-32.00%
EPS growth rate
| Aerospace & Defense Industry Growth | 5.38% |
| Revenue growth rate | 11.55% |
| Return on equity | 1.10% |
| Net Margin | 1.63% |
| Next Earnings Update | 06 May 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
KTOS: Missile And Hypersonic Program Demand Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions to $150.00, citing higher modeled revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, as well as a lower projected future P/E multiple that reflects recent price target increases related to missile, jet drone, and hypersonic program demand. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are leaning into Kratos Defense & Security Solutions as a direct play on demand tied to missile, jet drone, and hypersonic programs, and recent Street research reflects that enthusiasm in both ratings and price targets.Kratos Defense: Investing In The Future Of Autonomous Warfare
Apr 24
KTOS: Missile And Hypersonic Programs Will Support Future Contract Upside
The analyst price target for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has been adjusted slightly lower from $117.95 to $117.35, as analysts factor in updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels, alongside recent research citing missile, jet drone, and hypersonic program demand and mixed views on current valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions highlights both enthusiasm around its program pipeline and questions about how much of that growth story is already reflected in the current share price.
KTOS: Hypersonic And Drone Program Wins Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have significantly raised Kratos Defense & Security Solutions' blended price target into a higher $100+ range, citing expectations for stronger revenue growth and profit margins supported by DRSS sales targets, demand for jet drones and hypersonic systems, and expanding roles in key U.S. defense programs. Analyst Commentary Street research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has become more concentrated in a higher price target range, with multiple firms lifting their targets after recent earnings and guidance updates.KTOS: Hypersonic And Drone Programs Will Drive Future Contract Upside
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions' analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted slightly higher to $117.95 from $117.63, as analysts factor in updated price targets that reflect recent Q4 earnings beats, new long term sales guidance for DRSS and hypersonics, and a mix of bullish and neutral views on valuation. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts raise price targets into the US$115 to US$135 range after the Q4 earnings beat, viewing recent execution as supportive of higher valuations.KTOS: Unmanned Systems Momentum And Execution Risks Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook
Our fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has been lifted by $2 to $85, as analysts factor in higher long term revenue growth expectations tied to DRSS and unmanned systems demand, while also recognizing a richer projected P/E multiple and slightly lower margin outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Kratos Defense & Security Solutions reflects a mix of optimism on long term growth opportunities and concern about how much of that growth is already reflected in the share price.KTOS: Defense Contract Momentum Will Face Ongoing Program And Policy Execution Tests
Analysts have raised their average price targets for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions by double digit dollar amounts into the $120s and $130s, citing stronger order momentum in Valkyrie drones, progress in hypersonic testing programs, and expanded roles in U.S. defense contracts, such as collaborative combat aircraft initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a broadly constructive stance on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, with several firms lifting price targets into a higher range.KTOS: Drone And Hypersonic Programs Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions from about $100.56 to roughly $117.63, citing a blend of higher projected revenue growth, a slightly lower discount rate, and updated P/E assumptions supported by recent price target increases across several research firms focused on the company's drone, hypersonics, and unmanned systems exposure. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has leaned toward higher price targets, with most commentary pointing to the company's exposure to drones, hypersonics, and unmanned systems as key drivers for valuation updates.KTOS: Elevated Defense Hopes Will Likely Outrun Realistic Program Execution
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions to $83.00 from $80.00, citing higher Street price targets tied to Valkyrie drone order momentum, progress in hypersonic testing, new subcontractor roles on collaborative combat aircraft programs, expectations around defense budget trends, and the potential impact of the Orbit Technologies acquisition. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has centered on higher price targets tied to specific growth drivers, including Valkyrie drone order momentum, hypersonic testing progress, collaborative combat aircraft opportunities, and the pending Orbit Technologies acquisition.KTOS: Orbit Deal And Defense Programs Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Narrative Update The analyst fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has moved sharply higher from about US$78 to roughly US$137. Analysts point to raised Street price targets, updated revenue guidance, and the planned Orbit Technologies acquisition as key supports for the higher range of potential outcomes.KTOS: Future Defense Programs And Capacity Expansions Will Drive Balanced Risk Reward
Our fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has increased to $80 from $60, reflecting analysts' materially higher price targets and expectations for faster revenue growth, improved margins, and sustained demand tailwinds across key defense and aerospace programs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has moved sharply in favor of Kratos, with multiple firms lifting price targets into the high double and low triple digits and reiterating positive ratings.KTOS: Multi-Decade Defense Programs Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions slightly higher to about $100.56 per share from roughly $99.80, citing broadly raised Street price targets and expectations that robust defense fundamentals, expanding contract opportunities, and growth bolstered by acquisitions will sustain elevated revenue growth and margin potential, despite a modestly higher discount rate and richer future earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions underscores a broadly constructive view on the company, with multiple firms lifting price targets into or above the low triple digits and highlighting both near term execution momentum and longer term franchise value creation.KTOS: Multi-Year Defense Pipeline And Recent Acquisitions Will Drive Future Upside
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions saw its analyst price target inch down marginally from $100.00 to $99.80. Analysts cited tempered profit margin and revenue growth expectations while still acknowledging robust deal flow and market opportunities.KTOS: New Long-Term Defense Contracts Will Drive Sustained Upside Momentum
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions saw its analyst price target rise from approximately $93 to $100 per share, as analysts cite the company’s expanding growth prospects, successful contract wins, and increased revenue guidance as the foundation for heightened optimism. Analyst Commentary Coverage by Wall Street firms has intensified in recent months, reflecting increasing attention on the company’s performance and future prospects.Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year
Nov 07
Aerospace Modernization And Drone Demand Will Fuel Long-Term Upside Momentum
Analysts have raised their price target for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions from approximately $87 to $93 per share. This increase is driven by expectations of continued expansion across unmanned systems, strong performance in major contract wins, and increasing demand trends in both commercial and government aerospace sectors.Defense Modernization Will Drive Demand For Unmanned Systems
Analysts have raised their price target for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, increasing the estimated fair value to approximately $86.71 from $74.21. This change is attributed to strong execution across key business segments and continued optimism about the company’s growth prospects and opportunities in unmanned systems, defense modernization, and adjacent markets.After Leaping 34% Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
Sep 30Defense Modernization Will Drive Demand For Unmanned Systems
Driven by a robust contract pipeline, accelerated defense spending, and strong prospects for unmanned platforms and next-generation technologies, analysts have raised their price target for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions from $71.21 to $74.21. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight Kratos Defense's robust pipeline and new contract wins, positioning the company for significant revenue growth—with projections of $3B-plus in revenues and 13-30% annual revenue growth over the next several years.Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (NASDAQ:KTOS) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Sep 09Defense Modernization Will Drive Demand For Unmanned Systems
Analysts raised Kratos’ price target to $71.21, citing robust revenue prospects in unmanned and hypersonic systems, a record pipeline, favorable U.S. defense budget trends, recent capital raises, key regulatory shifts, and standout contract wins—all supporting a premium valuation. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite Kratos' strong revenue growth outlook, with opportunities in unmanned systems, turbine engines, hypersonics, and a record $13B+ pipeline supporting potential 20–30% annual growth through 2030 and substantial margin expansion.Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:KTOS) 35% Share Price Surge
Aug 15Defense Modernization Will Drive Demand For Unmanned Systems
The upward revision in Kratos Defense & Security Solutions’ price target reflects improved fundamentals, notably a rising net profit margin and stronger revenue growth forecasts, driving the consensus fair value from $57.46 to $64.46. What's in the News Kratos issued Q3 2025 revenue guidance of $315–325 million and operating income of $3–7 million; full-year 2025 revenue expected at $1.29–1.31 billion and operating income $29–34 million.Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) Stocks Shoot Up 26% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable
Jul 01Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (NASDAQ:KTOS) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital
Jun 24Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:KTOS) CEO Looks Like They Deserve Their Pay Packet
May 08Kratos Defense: Benefits From The Changing Battlefield With Modern Warfare
Mar 07Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Kratos Defense & Security Solutions makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec 25 | 1,347 | 22 | 240 | 40 |
| 28 Sep 25 | 1,285 | 20 | 229 | 41 |
| 29 Jun 25 | 1,213 | 15 | 222 | 41 |
| 30 Mar 25 | 1,162 | 20 | 217 | 41 |
| 29 Dec 24 | 1,136 | 16 | 217 | 40 |
| 29 Sep 24 | 1,127 | 15 | 213 | 38 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 1,126 | 10 | 212 | 38 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 1,083 | -1 | 204 | 38 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 1,037 | -9 | 199 | 38 |
| 01 Oct 23 | 1,013 | -20 | 192 | 41 |
| 25 Jun 23 | 967 | -26 | 190 | 40 |
| 26 Mar 23 | 934 | -29 | 187 | 40 |
| 25 Dec 22 | 898 | -37 | 183 | 39 |
| 25 Sep 22 | 861 | -31 | 179 | 37 |
| 26 Jun 22 | 833 | -24 | 172 | 35 |
| 27 Mar 22 | 814 | -17 | 166 | 36 |
| 26 Dec 21 | 812 | 0 | 160 | 35 |
| 26 Sep 21 | 806 | 80 | 155 | 34 |
| 27 Jun 21 | 808 | 84 | 150 | 34 |
| 28 Mar 21 | 773 | 82 | 148 | 29 |
| 27 Dec 20 | 748 | 81 | 145 | 27 |
| 27 Sep 20 | 726 | 6 | 140 | 24 |
| 28 Jun 20 | 709 | 6 | 137 | 21 |
| 29 Mar 20 | 726 | 7 | 134 | 20 |
| 29 Dec 19 | 718 | 11 | 131 | 18 |
| 29 Sep 19 | 697 | 12 | 128 | 17 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 672 | 11 | 125 | 17 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 635 | 7 | 122 | 16 |
| 30 Dec 18 | 618 | 4 | 120 | 16 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 620 | -25 | 122 | 17 |
| 01 Jul 18 | 618 | -32 | 125 | 17 |
| 01 Apr 18 | 614 | -35 | 127 | 17 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 603 | -47 | 127 | 18 |
| 01 Oct 17 | 619 | -27 | 132 | 17 |
| 25 Jun 17 | 627 | -45 | 134 | 16 |
| 26 Mar 17 | 648 | -48 | 139 | 15 |
| 25 Dec 16 | 542 | -58 | 115 | 14 |
| 25 Sep 16 | 664 | -63 | 148 | 15 |
| 26 Jun 16 | 661 | -35 | 147 | 15 |
| 27 Mar 16 | 653 | -41 | 151 | 15 |
| 27 Dec 15 | 657 | -33 | 151 | 16 |
| 27 Sep 15 | 672 | -29 | 147 | 17 |
| 28 Jun 15 | 700 | -44 | 152 | 18 |
Quality Earnings: KTOS has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: KTOS's current net profit margins (1.6%) are higher than last year (1.4%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: KTOS has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by -26.7% per year.
Accelerating Growth: KTOS's earnings growth over the past year (35.1%) exceeds its 5-year average (-26.7% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: KTOS earnings growth over the past year (35.1%) exceeded the Aerospace & Defense industry 24.2%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: KTOS's Return on Equity (1.1%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/01 21:30 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/01 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/28 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/28 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Peter Arment | Baird |
| Christopher Rieger | Berenberg |
| Matthew Akers | BNP Paribas |