Stock Analysis

Hurco Companies (NASDAQ:HURC) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

NasdaqGS:HURC
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The board of Hurco Companies, Inc. (NASDAQ:HURC) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 12th of July to US$0.14. This takes the annual payment to 1.5% of the current stock price, which is about average for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Hurco Companies

Hurco Companies Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Before making this announcement, Hurco Companies' dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.

EPS is set to fall by 36.5% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 374%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
NasdaqGS:HURC Historic Dividend June 14th 2021

Hurco Companies Is Still Building Its Track Record

The dividend's track record has been pretty solid, but with only 8 years of history we want to see a few more years of history before making any solid conclusions. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from US$0.20 to US$0.56. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14% a year over that time. Hurco Companies has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. Over the past five years, it looks as though Hurco Companies' EPS has declined at around 37% a year. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Hurco Companies will make a great income stock. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We don't think Hurco Companies is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Hurco Companies you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high performing dividend stock.

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