FTAI Aviation Ltd.

NasdaqGS:FTAI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$13.7b

FTAI Aviation Valuation

Is FTAI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FTAI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FTAI ($133.49) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($69.74)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FTAI is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FTAI?

Key metric: As FTAI is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for FTAI. This is calculated by dividing FTAI's market cap by their current revenue.
What is FTAI's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio8.8x
SalesUS$1.55b
Market CapUS$13.69b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does FTAI's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for FTAI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2x
AER AerCap Holdings
2.2x1.9%US$17.5b
CNM Core & Main
1.3x5.9%US$10.0b
AIT Applied Industrial Technologies
2.1x5.0%US$9.2b
WSO Watsco
2.4x6.5%US$18.5b
FTAI FTAI Aviation
8.8x19.1%US$13.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: FTAI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.8x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does FTAI's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Trade Distributors Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TITN Titan Machinery
0.1x-2.1%US$300.60m
ALTG Alta Equipment Group
0.1x2.5%US$221.15m
BYU BAIYU Holdings
0.07xn/aUS$8.94m
MWG Multi Ways Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$8.25m
FTAI 8.8xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies11PS012345+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: FTAI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.8x) compared to the US Trade Distributors industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FTAI's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FTAI PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio8.8x
Fair PS Ratio5.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: FTAI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FTAI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$133.49
US$184.00
+37.8%
21.7%US$300.00US$132.00n/a11
Dec ’25US$168.82
US$173.45
+2.7%
25.0%US$300.00US$132.00n/a11
Nov ’25US$142.46
US$167.91
+17.9%
26.0%US$300.00US$132.00n/a11
Oct ’25US$131.65
US$137.91
+4.8%
9.4%US$156.00US$110.00n/a11
Sep ’25US$127.81
US$131.00
+2.5%
8.6%US$150.00US$110.00n/a11
Aug ’25US$108.92
US$115.09
+5.7%
17.5%US$140.00US$80.00n/a11
Jul ’25US$105.00
US$93.67
-10.8%
13.6%US$120.00US$69.00n/a12
Jun ’25US$84.32
US$85.27
+1.1%
9.5%US$100.00US$69.00n/a11
May ’25US$73.20
US$83.00
+13.4%
9.6%US$100.00US$66.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$67.79
US$68.73
+1.4%
15.1%US$100.00US$59.00n/a11
Mar ’25US$58.20
US$63.73
+9.5%
10.6%US$71.00US$45.00n/a11
Feb ’25US$55.40
US$48.73
-12.0%
11.2%US$58.00US$40.00n/a11
Jan ’25US$46.40
US$45.70
-1.5%
9.8%US$54.00US$40.00n/a10
Dec ’24US$42.27
US$44.30
+4.8%
7.4%US$50.00US$40.00US$168.8210
Nov ’24US$38.98
US$42.35
+8.6%
6.7%US$46.00US$37.50US$142.4610
Oct ’24US$35.55
US$39.27
+10.5%
11.9%US$46.00US$28.18US$131.6510
Sep ’24US$37.43
US$38.27
+2.2%
10.9%US$45.00US$28.18US$127.8110
Aug ’24US$32.27
US$38.07
+18.0%
10.9%US$45.00US$28.18US$108.9210
Jul ’24US$31.66
US$33.92
+7.1%
14.2%US$45.00US$28.00US$105.0010
Jun ’24US$28.66
US$33.42
+16.6%
13.9%US$45.00US$28.00US$84.3210
May ’24US$27.91
US$33.42
+19.7%
13.9%US$45.00US$28.00US$73.2010
Apr ’24US$27.96
US$31.77
+13.6%
16.7%US$45.00US$26.00US$67.7910
Mar ’24US$25.07
US$29.74
+18.6%
12.5%US$35.00US$22.00US$58.209
Feb ’24US$22.86
US$27.77
+21.5%
16.4%US$35.00US$21.00US$55.4010
Jan ’24US$17.12
US$27.17
+58.7%
17.6%US$35.00US$20.00US$46.4010
Dec ’23US$17.07
US$27.17
+59.2%
17.6%US$35.00US$20.00US$42.2710

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 09:44
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

FTAI Aviation Ltd. is covered by 19 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
Joshua SullivanBenchmark Company