FTAI Aviation Ltd.

NasdaqGS:FTAI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$17.5b

FTAI Aviation Valuation

Is FTAI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FTAI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FTAI ($171.21) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($185.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FTAI is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FTAI?

Key metric: As FTAI is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for FTAI. This is calculated by dividing FTAI's market cap by their current revenue.
What is FTAI's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio11.3x
SalesUS$1.55b
Market CapUS$17.54b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does FTAI's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for FTAI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.9x
AER AerCap Holdings
2.3x2.5%US$17.7b
WSO Watsco
2.7x6.5%US$20.0b
AIT Applied Industrial Technologies
2.3x4.4%US$10.2b
WCC WESCO International
0.5x3.6%US$10.0b
FTAI FTAI Aviation
11.3x18.9%US$17.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: FTAI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (1.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does FTAI's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Trade Distributors Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TITN Titan Machinery
0.1x-1.8%US$319.08m
ALTG Alta Equipment Group
0.1x2.4%US$236.79m
BYU BAIYU Holdings
0.07xn/aUS$9.09m
FGI FGI Industries
0.06x7.0%US$7.89m
FTAI 11.3xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies11PS012345+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: FTAI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.3x) compared to the US Trade Distributors industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FTAI's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FTAI PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio11.3x
Fair PS Ratio5.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: FTAI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FTAI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$171.21
US$173.45
+1.3%
25.0%US$300.00US$132.00n/a11
Nov ’25US$142.46
US$167.91
+17.9%
26.0%US$300.00US$132.00n/a11
Oct ’25US$131.65
US$137.91
+4.8%
9.4%US$156.00US$110.00n/a11
Sep ’25US$127.81
US$131.00
+2.5%
8.6%US$150.00US$110.00n/a11
Aug ’25US$108.92
US$115.09
+5.7%
17.5%US$140.00US$80.00n/a11
Jul ’25US$105.00
US$93.67
-10.8%
13.6%US$120.00US$69.00n/a12
Jun ’25US$84.32
US$85.27
+1.1%
9.5%US$100.00US$69.00n/a11
May ’25US$73.20
US$83.00
+13.4%
9.6%US$100.00US$66.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$67.79
US$68.73
+1.4%
15.1%US$100.00US$59.00n/a11
Mar ’25US$58.20
US$63.73
+9.5%
10.6%US$71.00US$45.00n/a11
Feb ’25US$55.40
US$48.73
-12.0%
11.2%US$58.00US$40.00n/a11
Jan ’25US$46.40
US$45.70
-1.5%
9.8%US$54.00US$40.00n/a10
Dec ’24US$42.27
US$44.30
+4.8%
7.4%US$50.00US$40.00n/a10
Nov ’24US$38.98
US$42.35
+8.6%
6.7%US$46.00US$37.50US$142.4610
Oct ’24US$35.55
US$39.27
+10.5%
11.9%US$46.00US$28.18US$131.6510
Sep ’24US$37.43
US$38.27
+2.2%
10.9%US$45.00US$28.18US$127.8110
Aug ’24US$32.27
US$38.07
+18.0%
10.9%US$45.00US$28.18US$108.9210
Jul ’24US$31.66
US$33.92
+7.1%
14.2%US$45.00US$28.00US$105.0010
Jun ’24US$28.66
US$33.42
+16.6%
13.9%US$45.00US$28.00US$84.3210
May ’24US$27.91
US$33.42
+19.7%
13.9%US$45.00US$28.00US$73.2010
Apr ’24US$27.96
US$31.77
+13.6%
16.7%US$45.00US$26.00US$67.7910
Mar ’24US$25.07
US$29.74
+18.6%
12.5%US$35.00US$22.00US$58.209
Feb ’24US$22.86
US$27.77
+21.5%
16.4%US$35.00US$21.00US$55.4010
Jan ’24US$17.12
US$27.17
+58.7%
17.6%US$35.00US$20.00US$46.4010
Dec ’23US$17.07
US$27.17
+59.2%
17.6%US$35.00US$20.00US$42.2710
Nov ’23US$17.62
US$27.17
+54.2%
17.6%US$35.00US$20.00US$38.9810

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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