FuelCell Energy Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
FuelCell Energy is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 36.7% and 27.6% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 61% per annum.
Key information
36.7%
Earnings growth rate
60.98%
EPS growth rate
| Electrical earnings growth | 18.7% |
| Revenue growth rate | 27.6% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 22 Apr 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 07
FCEL: Data Center Proposal Surge Will Likely Fail To Offset Execution Risks
Analysts have trimmed FuelCell Energy's fair value estimate to $8.24 from $8.71 and cut their price target to $6 from $7, citing softer margin assumptions, slightly higher discount rates, and concerns about the company gaining traction against competitors, despite a large pipeline of data center related proposals. Analyst Commentary Analysts are reassessing FuelCell Energy's setup after the Q1 miss, focusing on how the company can turn a large proposal pipeline into profitable, repeatable business while competing against peers that appear to have fewer supply constraints.
Narrative Update • Apr 22
FCEL: Data Center Profit Visibility Will Likely Restrict Future Share Upside
Analysts have trimmed FuelCell Energy's 12 month price target by $1 to $6, citing a recent Q1 miss, tougher competition for large data center projects, and limited visibility into sustained profitability. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have taken a more cautious stance after the Q1 miss, trimming 12 month expectations and questioning how quickly FuelCell Energy can translate its pipeline into sustainable profits.Narrative Update • Apr 08
FCEL: Data Center Pipeline And Q1 Setback Will Likely Limit Near Term Upside
Analysts have reduced FuelCell Energy's target price to $6 from $7. This change reflects concerns about recent Q1 results, competition from peers that are not supply constrained, and limited visibility into a path to sustained profitability.Narrative Update • Mar 25
FCEL: Data Center Focus And Q1 Miss Will Likely Cap Upside
Narrative Update on FuelCell Energy Analysts have trimmed their price target on FuelCell Energy to $6 from $7, citing a recent Q1 miss, concerns that competitors are not supply constrained, and limited visibility into sustained profitability as key reasons for the reset. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have cut their price target on FuelCell Energy to US$6 from US$7 after the recent Q1 miss, signaling a more cautious stance on the stock.Narrative Update • Mar 11
FCEL: Data Center Proposal Challenges Will Likely Limit Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on FuelCell Energy to $6 from $7, citing lower fair value estimates, a higher discount rate, softer assumed revenue growth and profit margins, and concern that competitors with fewer supply constraints may limit the company’s ability to win and profit from large data center projects. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts cutting their price target to US$6 from US$7 frame FuelCell Energy as a higher risk name, with execution and profitability questions sitting front and center for anyone considering the stock today.Seeking Alpha • Mar 10
FuelCell Energy: Q1 2026 Earnings Review, My Bearishness Still Holds True
Summary FuelCell Energy remains a Sell as Q1 2026 results reinforce persistent unprofitability, steep dilution, and negative cash flow trends. Despite 60% YoY revenue growth, FCEL missed expectations by $11 million and continues to post negative gross margins, with product sales generating $0.73 per dollar in costs. Share count surged from 46.07M to 52.6M in one quarter, reflecting ongoing equity financing to offset deeply negative operating cash flows and a cash runway of 9.4 quarters. Competitive pressures from BE and PLUG, both with stronger balance sheets and less dilution, further diminish FCEL's relative appeal despite a growing data center pipeline. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Feb 24
FCEL: Data Center Power Partnership Will Support Future Re Rating
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for FuelCell Energy steady at $8.71, while slightly adjusting assumptions on the discount rate, margins, and future P/E to reflect a more updated view of the company’s risk profile and earnings power. What's in the News FuelCell Energy and Sustainable Development Capital LLP agreed to collaborate on deploying up to 450 megawatts of fuel-cell power systems to support data center growth and other mission critical distributed power needs globally (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 10
FCEL: Data Center Power Partnership Will Likely Support A Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on FuelCell Energy from US$7.00 to US$6.00. They link the change to updated assumptions for slightly higher discount rates, modestly stronger revenue growth and profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple in their models.Narrative Update • Jan 27
FCEL: Data Center Power Collaboration And Margin Outlook Will Support Measured Re Rating
Analysts have adjusted their price target for FuelCell Energy to reflect a slightly lower discount rate and modestly higher projected profit margin, which has led to a small upward revision in their implied valuation in US$ terms. What's in the News FuelCell Energy and Sustainable Development Capital LLP agreed on a collaboration to explore deploying up to 450 megawatts of advanced fuel cell power systems for data centers and other mission critical distributed power uses worldwide (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 12
FCEL: Lower Discount Rate And Higher Margins Will Support Re Rating
Analysts have raised their price target on FuelCell Energy to approximately US$8.71 from about US$7.38, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, profit margins, revenue growth, and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate was moved from about US$7.38 to roughly US$8.71 per share, reflecting a moderate upward adjustment in the model output.Narrative Update • Dec 26
FCEL: Higher Earnings Multiple Will Likely Fail To Justify Rich Share Price
Analysts have raised their price target on FuelCell Energy from 5 dollars to 7 dollars, citing a modestly lower discount rate, slightly improved profit margin expectations, and a higher anticipated future earnings multiple that more than offset marginally slower projected revenue growth. Valuation Changes Fair Value: increased moderately from $5.00 to $7.00 per share.Analysis Article • Dec 21
FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL) Soars 34% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward
FuelCell Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FCEL ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 34% in...Narrative Update • Dec 12
FCEL: Lower Discount Rate Will Likely Fail To Justify Elevated Share Price
Analysts have raised their price target on FuelCell Energy from 4.50 dollars to 5.00 dollars. They cite expectations for faster revenue growth, improved profit margins, a lower perceived risk profile reflected in a reduced discount rate, and a slightly more conservative future earnings multiple.Analysis Article • Nov 05
Positive Sentiment Still Eludes FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL) Following 28% Share Price Slump
The FuelCell Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FCEL ) share price has softened a substantial 28% over the previous 30 days, handing...Analysis Article • Sep 10
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By FuelCell Energy, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FCEL) Low P/S
FuelCell Energy, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:FCEL ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might make it look like a buy right now...Analysis Article • May 20
FuelCell Energy, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FCEL) Shares Leap 25% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story
Those holding FuelCell Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FCEL ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in...Analysis Article • Apr 05
FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL) Stock's 27% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny
To the annoyance of some shareholders, FuelCell Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FCEL ) shares are down a considerable 27% in the...
New Narrative • Apr 02
Cost Cuts And ExxonMobil Collaboration Will Shape Our Future
Strategic partnerships and collaborations in energy and hydrogen sectors are boosting revenue growth and market expansion globally, particularly in Asia and the Americas.Analysis Article • Mar 27
FuelCell Energy, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FCEL) CEO Compensation Is Looking A Bit Stretched At The Moment
Key Insights FuelCell Energy will host its Annual General Meeting on 3rd of April Salary of US$579.3k is part of CEO...Analysis Article • Mar 20
Analyst Forecasts Just Became More Bearish On FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL)
Today is shaping up negative for FuelCell Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FCEL ) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a...Seeking Alpha • Mar 13
FuelCell Energy: Liquidity Could Become An Issue By 2027 - Sell
Summary FuelCell Energy reported mixed Q1/FY2025 results, with revenue underperformance partially offset by a slight top-line beat. While recent restructuring initiatives have resulted in somewhat reduced operating expenses, the company continues to burn substantial amounts of cash. While management highlighted the company's data center opportunity, there won't be any material revenues from these efforts for at least the next couple of years. Declining market capitalization and trading volume have limited the company's ability to replenish dwindling cash balances through persistent open market sales. With no viable path to profitability, FuelCell Energy might run out of funds in FY2027. Consequently, I am reiterating my "Sell" rating on the common shares. In addition, I am downgrading the company's Preferred Shares from "Buy" to "Sell". Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 18
FuelCell Energy, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FCEL) P/S Is On The Mark
It's not a stretch to say that FuelCell Energy, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:FCEL ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x right...Seeking Alpha • Dec 28
FuelCell Energy: Sell On Persistent Lack Of A Viable Business Model
Summary FuelCell Energy reported mixed Q4/FY2024 results with a disappointing gross margin performance somewhat offset by positive cash flow from operations. Common shareholder dilution from open market sales continued unabatedly. Due to weak near-term business prospects, management has decided to reduce investments and lower operating expenses. While investors should continue to avoid the common shares, the company's Series B Preferred Shares offer a juicy 13.6% dividend yield, for income-oriented investors. Considering the persistent lack of a viable business model and with dilution for common shareholders from open market sales likely to persist, I reiterate my "Sell" rating on FuelCell Energy's common shares. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Oct 29
Market Participants Recognise FuelCell Energy, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FCEL) Revenues
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Electrical industry in the United States have price-to-sales...Seeking Alpha • Sep 06
FuelCell Energy Preferreds: 13.5% Yield Supported By Persistent Common Shareholder Dilution
Summary FuelCell Energy reported less-than-stellar Q3/FY2024 results, with negative gross margins and cash usage at all-time highs. However, FuelCell Energy managed to replenish its cash balances by aggressively selling new shares into the open market. As a result, outstanding shares increased by more than 20% during Q3. On the conference call, management admitted to issues regarding its new solid oxide fuel cell technology, which will require further improvement before being suited for commercial deployments. While investors should continue to avoid the common shares, the company's Series B Preferred Shares offer a juicy 13.5% dividend yield, for income-oriented investors. Given the company's almost unlimited ability to finance operations via open market sales, I expect FuelCell Energy to honor its preferred dividend obligations for the foreseeable future. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jun 30
With A 29% Price Drop For FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL) You'll Still Get What You Pay For
To the annoyance of some shareholders, FuelCell Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FCEL ) shares are down a considerable 29% in the...Seeking Alpha • Jun 12
FuelCell Energy: Relentless Dilution Bodes Well For Preferred Stockholders
Summary FuelCell Energy reported uninspiring Q2/FY2024 results with negative gross margins and significant cash burn. With open market sales remaining the company's primary funding source, relentless dilution for common shareholders continued. Subsequent to quarter-end, the company signed a $160 million long-term service agreement in Korea, which should boost revenues significantly starting in FY2025. While investors should continue to avoid the common shares, the company's Series B Preferred Stock offers a juicy 13.2% dividend yield, for income-oriented investors. Considering the company's almost unlimited ability to finance operations via open market sales, I expect FuelCell Energy to honor its preferred dividend obligations for the time being. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 05
FuelCell Energy: Consider Potential Q2 Results Miss And Korean Market Opportunities
Summary FuelCell Energy's Q2 FY 2024 results are predicted to miss expectations based on the company's track record and the recent performance of its peers. On the other hand, the South Korean market could provide new growth opportunities for FuelCell Energy, and its shares don't seem to be overvalued. I choose to rate FCEL stock as a Hold after previewing its second quarter results and assessing its latest contract win. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Apr 23
The Price Is Right For FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL) Even After Diving 29%
The FuelCell Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FCEL ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...Seeking Alpha • Mar 26
FuelCell Energy Is Walking On A Tightrope
Summary FuelCell Energy, Inc. is entering a critical phase as it tests its carbon capture technology and scales its hydrogen fuel technology. The demand for clean hydrogen is projected to grow to 125-585MTPA by 2050, up from 90MTPA. FuelCell Energy needs to accelerate their scaling efforts as competitors enter and secure hydrogen & ammonia supply contracts domestically. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Mar 09
FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$1.51 Price Target
Last week, you might have seen that FuelCell Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FCEL ) released its quarterly result to the market...Seeking Alpha • Mar 08
FuelCell Energy: Weak Q1 Earnings And Poor Prospects (Rating Downgrade)
Summary FuelCell Energy reported another set of disappointing quarterly results with revenues missing consensus expectations by a mile, gross margins at multi-year lows, and cash burn increasing to new all-time highs. The company finished the quarter with unrestricted cash and cash equivalents of $297.5 million, down $56.2 million sequentially, as the company abstained from selling additional shares in the open market. A projected lack of module replacements will impact revenues in the coming years, with the issue likely to result in the company missing FY2024 consensus expectations by a mile. With the legacy, natural gas-powered molten carbonate fuel cell platform not likely to make a comeback anytime soon, and the new solid oxide offering still in its infancy, I would expect FuelCell to struggle for years to come. Due to the company's weak prospects, material cash burn, and resulting high likelihood of further dilution for common shareholders, I am downgrading FCEL shares to "Sell" from "Hold". Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Dec 22
There's Reason For Concern Over FuelCell Energy, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FCEL) Massive 32% Price Jump
FuelCell Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FCEL ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 32% share price jump in the...Analysis Article • Dec 14
Health Check: How Prudently Does FuelCell Energy (NASDAQ:FCEL) Use Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Sep 15
Health Check: How Prudently Does FuelCell Energy (NASDAQ:FCEL) Use Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Jun 05
FuelCell Energy (NASDAQ:FCEL) Is Using Debt Safely
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Analysis Article • Apr 17
FuelCell Energy, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FCEL) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit
FuelCell Energy, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:FCEL ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.6x may look like a poor investment...Analysis Article • Dec 21
Analysts Just Shaved Their FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL) Forecasts Dramatically
Market forces rained on the parade of FuelCell Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FCEL ) shareholders today, when the analysts...Analysis Article • Dec 18
Is FuelCell Energy (NASDAQ:FCEL) Using Debt Sensibly?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/31/2028 | 359 | -74 | -74 | -23 | 4 |
| 10/31/2027 | 231 | -104 | -100 | -56 | 7 |
| 10/31/2026 | 162 | -104 | -103 | -78 | 7 |
| 1/31/2026 | 170 | -186 | -132 | -114 | N/A |
| 10/31/2025 | 158 | -191 | -148 | -125 | N/A |
| 7/31/2025 | 152 | -203 | -129 | -97 | N/A |
| 4/30/2025 | 129 | -144 | -173 | -133 | N/A |
| 1/31/2025 | 114 | -138 | -189 | -140 | N/A |
| 10/31/2024 | 112 | -129 | -212 | -153 | N/A |
| 7/31/2024 | 85 | -118 | -252 | -175 | N/A |
| 4/30/2024 | 87 | -110 | -235 | -147 | N/A |
| 1/31/2024 | 103 | -112 | -246 | -145 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 123 | -111 | -233 | -140 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 140 | -123 | -219 | -149 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 158 | -128 | -190 | -136 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 136 | -124 | -159 | -118 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 130 | -146 | -159 | -112 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 105 | -128 | -166 | -98 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 89 | -110 | -174 | -94 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 87 | -99 | -172 | -88 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 70 | -104 | -144 | -70 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 73 | -99 | -125 | -73 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 65 | -102 | -104 | -63 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 69 | -98 | -89 | -61 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 71 | -92 | -69 | -37 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 65 | -109 | -71 | -37 | N/A |
| 4/30/2020 | 69 | -101 | -81 | -27 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 59 | -108 | -88 | -25 | N/A |
| 10/31/2019 | 61 | -100 | N/A | -31 | N/A |
| 7/31/2019 | 68 | -82 | N/A | -31 | N/A |
| 4/30/2019 | 57 | -91 | N/A | -44 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 69 | -87 | N/A | -36 | N/A |
| 10/31/2018 | 89 | -62 | N/A | 16 | N/A |
| 7/31/2018 | 119 | -55 | N/A | 15 | N/A |
| 4/30/2018 | 118 | -55 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 117 | -51 | N/A | -7 | N/A |
| 10/31/2017 | 96 | -57 | N/A | -72 | N/A |
| 7/31/2017 | 72 | -60 | N/A | -58 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 84 | -54 | N/A | -64 | N/A |
| 1/31/2017 | 92 | -56 | N/A | -80 | N/A |
| 10/31/2016 | 108 | -54 | N/A | -47 | N/A |
| 7/31/2016 | 135 | -50 | N/A | -55 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 155 | -46 | N/A | -53 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 155 | -40 | N/A | -33 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 163 | -33 | N/A | -44 | N/A |
| 7/31/2015 | 166 | -28 | N/A | -61 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: FCEL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Earnings vs Market: FCEL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
High Growth Earnings: FCEL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: FCEL's revenue (27.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: FCEL's revenue (27.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if FCEL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/21 08:00 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/10/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
FuelCell Energy, Inc. is covered by 21 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| John Marc Roy | Brean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery) |
| Ryan Pfingst | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| George Gianarikas | Canaccord Genuity |