Axon Enterprise, Inc.

NasdaqGS:AXON Stock Report

Market Cap: US$48.1b

Axon Enterprise Valuation

Is AXON undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AXON when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AXON ($631.25) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($387.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AXON is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AXON?

Key metric: As AXON is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AXON. This is calculated by dividing AXON's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AXON's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio24.8x
SalesUS$1.94b
Market CapUS$48.14b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AXON's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AXON vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.5x
HWM Howmet Aerospace
6.3x8.4%US$45.5b
HEI HEICO
8.6x6.9%US$29.0b
TDG TransDigm Group
9.2x8.2%US$73.2b
LHX L3Harris Technologies
1.9x4.2%US$40.5b
AXON Axon Enterprise
24.8x21.1%US$48.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AXON is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (24.8x) compared to the peer average (6.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AXON's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Aerospace & Defense Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VVX V2X
0.4x4.8%US$1.50b
LLAP Terran Orbital
0.4x29.5%US$51.22m
SIF SIFCO Industries
0.2xn/aUS$18.54m
AIRI Air Industries Group
0.3x1.8%US$13.43m
AXON 24.8xIndustry Avg. 2.4xNo. of Companies14PS0246810+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AXON is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (24.8x) compared to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average (2.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AXON's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AXON PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio24.8x
Fair PS Ratio12.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AXON is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (24.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AXON forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$631.25
US$598.08
-5.3%
18.3%US$800.00US$385.00n/a13
Dec ’25US$646.96
US$563.46
-12.9%
14.9%US$750.00US$385.00n/a13
Nov ’25US$425.84
US$429.92
+1.0%
12.9%US$525.00US$365.00n/a13
Oct ’25US$399.22
US$385.31
-3.5%
5.5%US$430.00US$335.00n/a13
Sep ’25US$364.97
US$378.00
+3.6%
4.4%US$400.00US$335.00n/a13
Aug ’25US$299.63
US$369.62
+23.4%
6.1%US$400.00US$320.00n/a13
Jul ’25US$289.21
US$367.27
+27.0%
6.5%US$400.00US$320.00n/a11
Jun ’25US$281.67
US$357.80
+27.0%
10.9%US$400.00US$253.58n/a12
May ’25US$311.57
US$328.38
+5.4%
11.2%US$400.00US$253.58n/a12
Apr ’25US$311.37
US$309.22
-0.7%
7.1%US$339.00US$253.58n/a12
Mar ’25US$314.25
US$309.22
-1.6%
7.1%US$339.00US$253.58n/a12
Feb ’25US$252.70
US$261.47
+3.5%
8.7%US$297.00US$233.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$258.33
US$249.63
-3.4%
3.8%US$265.00US$233.00n/a12
Dec ’24US$231.51
US$243.50
+5.2%
5.1%US$265.00US$220.00US$646.9612
Nov ’24US$207.15
US$236.42
+14.1%
3.5%US$250.00US$220.00US$425.8412
Oct ’24US$198.99
US$235.92
+18.6%
3.4%US$250.00US$220.00US$399.2212
Sep ’24US$215.39
US$235.92
+9.5%
3.4%US$250.00US$220.00US$364.9712
Aug ’24US$183.33
US$238.64
+30.2%
5.1%US$262.00US$220.00US$299.6311
Jul ’24US$195.12
US$238.64
+22.3%
5.1%US$262.00US$220.00US$289.2111
Jun ’24US$192.14
US$241.15
+25.5%
4.5%US$262.00US$223.00US$281.6711
May ’24US$216.00
US$243.61
+12.8%
8.6%US$300.00US$223.00US$311.5711
Apr ’24US$224.85
US$236.90
+5.4%
4.6%US$263.00US$223.00US$311.3710
Mar ’24US$221.06
US$232.80
+5.3%
3.2%US$242.00US$222.00US$314.2510
Feb ’24US$198.39
US$197.09
-0.7%
14.0%US$240.00US$155.00US$252.7011
Jan ’24US$165.93
US$184.00
+10.9%
11.5%US$223.00US$152.00US$258.3311
Dec ’23US$185.55
US$179.00
-3.5%
13.7%US$223.00US$130.00US$231.5111

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 00:28
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Axon Enterprise, Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William PowerBaird
Timothy LongBarclays
Jordan LyonnaisBofA Global Research