Stock Analysis

Astec Industries (NASDAQ:ASTE) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

NasdaqGS:ASTE
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Astec Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTE) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Astec Industries

How Much Debt Does Astec Industries Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Astec Industries had US$83.1m of debt in December 2023, down from US$87.7m, one year before. However, it does have US$68.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$14.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:ASTE Debt to Equity History April 25th 2024

A Look At Astec Industries' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Astec Industries had liabilities of US$299.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$106.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$68.9m and US$152.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$184.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Astec Industries has a market capitalization of US$980.2m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Carrying virtually no net debt, Astec Industries has a very light debt load indeed.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Astec Industries has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.12. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 13.4 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Better yet, Astec Industries grew its EBIT by 111% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Astec Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Astec Industries burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

The good news is that Astec Industries's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that Astec Industries can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Astec Industries you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.