Stock Analysis

We're Keeping An Eye On American Superconductor's (NASDAQ:AMSC) Cash Burn Rate

NasdaqGS:AMSC
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

So, the natural question for American Superconductor (NASDAQ:AMSC) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

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Does American Superconductor Have A Long Cash Runway?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. As at June 2023, American Superconductor had cash of US$22m and such minimal debt that we can ignore it for the purposes of this analysis. In the last year, its cash burn was US$20m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 13 months from June 2023. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. Importantly, if we extrapolate recent cash burn trends, the cash runway would be a lot longer. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:AMSC Debt to Equity History September 8th 2023

How Well Is American Superconductor Growing?

Over the last year, American Superconductor maintained its cash burn at a fairly steady level. And while its operating revenue growth of 7.4% didn't shoot the lights out, it does, at least, point to business traction. Considering both these factors, we're not particularly excited by its growth profile. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

Can American Superconductor Raise More Cash Easily?

American Superconductor seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

American Superconductor has a market capitalisation of US$247m and burnt through US$20m last year, which is 8.0% of the company's market value. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

So, Should We Worry About American Superconductor's Cash Burn?

American Superconductor appears to be in pretty good health when it comes to its cash burn situation. Not only was its revenue growth quite good, but its cash burn relative to its market cap was a real positive. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about American Superconductor's situation. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 3 warning signs for American Superconductor (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.