Golden State Bancorp Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of GSBX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

GSBX ($27) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] ($54.83)

Is GSBX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GSBX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GSBX ($27) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($54.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GSBX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GSBX?

Key metric: As GSBX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GSBX. This is calculated by dividing GSBX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GSBX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	7.7x
Earnings	US$7.62m
Market Cap	US$58.94m

GSBX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GSBX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GSBX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	9.3x
MNMB Merchants & Marine Bancorp	13.2x	n/a	US$59.9m
CZBT Citizens Bancorp of Virginia	7.7x	n/a	US$65.4m
FBSI First Bancshares	9.3x	n/a	US$59.7m
CYFL Century Financial	7.1x	n/a	US$62.4m
GSBX Golden State Bancorp	7.7x	n/a	US$58.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GSBX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the peer average (9.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GSBX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank	0.02x	n/a	US$27.98m
BKGM BankGuam Holding	1x	n/a	US$18.48m
SBNY Signature Bank	0.002x	n/a	US$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings	0.00001x	n/a	US$132.00

No more companies available in this PE range

4 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GSBX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the US Banks industry average (13.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GSBX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GSBX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	7.7x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GSBX's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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