Agricultural Bank of China Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of ACGB.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

ACGB.Y ($12.48) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] ($37.96)

Is ACGB.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ACGB.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ACGB.Y ($12.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($37.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ACGB.Y is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ACGB.Y?

Key metric: As ACGB.Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ACGB.Y. This is calculated by dividing ACGB.Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ACGB.Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	4.9x
Earnings	CN¥260.31b
Market Cap	CN¥1.66t

ACGB.Y key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ACGB.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ACGB.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	17.5x
WFC Wells Fargo	15.2x	3.7%	US$257.1b
BAC Bank of America	16.7x	9.5%	US$366.5b
C Citigroup	20x	30.4%	US$133.9b
PNC PNC Financial Services Group	18x	12.9%	US$85.3b
ACGB.Y Agricultural Bank of China	4.9x	5.4%	US$1.8t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ACGB.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x) compared to the peer average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ACGB.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank	0.02x	n/a	US$27.98m
BKGM BankGuam Holding	1x	n/a	US$18.48m
SBNY Signature Bank	0.002x	n/a	US$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings	0.00001x	n/a	US$132.00

No more companies available in this PE range

4 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ACGB.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x) compared to the US Banks industry average (13.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ACGB.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ACGB.Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	4.9x
Fair PE Ratio	17.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ACGB.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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