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Wells Fargo (WFC) Valuation After Fed Lifts Asset Cap and Growth Prospects Improve
Reviewed by Simply Wall St
The big story around Wells Fargo (WFC) right now is the Federal Reserve finally lifting its $1.95 trillion asset cap, a shift that gives the bank fresh room to expand and rework its growth playbook.
See our latest analysis for Wells Fargo.
Investors seem to be warming to that new regulatory freedom, with the share price at $89.83 and a roughly 28% year to date share price return sitting alongside a powerful 5 year total shareholder return of about 247%. This suggests momentum has been building rather than fading.
If this kind of bank led rally has your attention, it might be a good moment to also explore aerospace and defense stocks as another way to spot resilient compounders in today’s market.
With the cap gone, earnings forecast to climb, and the stock still trading at a discount to peers, is Wells Fargo genuinely undervalued or has the market already priced in the next leg of growth?
Most Popular Narrative: 4.1% Undervalued
With Wells Fargo last closing at $89.83 against a narrative fair value of $93.71, the current setup leans toward modest upside driven by fundamental improvements.
Management reiterated a continued commitment to expense discipline and scalable technology investments, including early stage AI initiatives. These efforts are expected to offset investment for growth and enable structurally lower efficiency ratios, positively impacting net margins and long term earnings power.
Curious how steady, mid single digit growth, slight margin compression, and a richer future earnings multiple still point to upside? Discover the full valuation playbook behind this narrative.
Result: Fair Value of $93.71 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, execution risks around digital transformation and any renewed regulatory setbacks could quickly undermine margin gains and temper the current valuation upside.
Find out about the key risks to this Wells Fargo narrative.
Another Angle on Value
On earnings, Wells Fargo looks less straightforward. Its 14.1x price to earnings ratio sits above both the US Banks industry at 11.6x and peer average at 13.2x, yet below a fair ratio of 15.6x. That mix of premium and headroom raises a simple question: how much rerating is really left?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
Build Your Own Wells Fargo Narrative
If you see the story differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a custom view in just minutes: Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Wells Fargo research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Wells Fargo might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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About NYSE:WFC
Wells Fargo
A financial services company, provides diversified banking, investment, mortgage, and consumer and commercial finance products and services in the United States and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.
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