Stock Analysis

A Look at U.S. Bancorp’s Valuation Following Strong Q3 Results and Fresh Product Launches

U.S. Bancorp (USB) grabbed investor attention after reporting its Q3 2025 results, which showed faster revenue growth, disciplined expense control, and growing fee income. These solid fundamentals were paired with fresh credit card product launches.

See our latest analysis for U.S. Bancorp.

Recent product launches and high-profile partnerships have helped U.S. Bancorp sustain fresh momentum. The share price has climbed 6% over the past 90 days despite a modest drop for the year. Looking longer term, the bank’s three- and five-year total shareholder returns of nearly 25% and 32% reveal steady value creation and the kind of resilience that attracts patient investors.

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With share price gains in recent months, robust fundamentals, and analyst price targets well above current levels, the key question is whether U.S. Bancorp is trading at a bargain today or if future growth is already reflected in the price.

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Most Popular Narrative: 16% Undervalued

U.S. Bancorp’s most widely followed narrative points to a fair value of $55.67, about 16% above the last closing price of $46.74. This sets the stage for a deeper look into the assumptions and outlook that drive such an upbeat estimate.

Industry-wide consolidation, coupled with the shift to a higher-for-longer interest rate environment, supports wider net interest margins for U.S. Bancorp due to its large, sticky deposit base. This should translate into improved earnings and returns on equity relative to less diversified or deposit-fragile peers.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know the bold logic fueling this upside? The narrative is based on a long-term profitability engine, ambitious growth expectations, and a higher future profit multiple than peers. Wondering what makes analysts so confident? The financial leap required for this fair value might surprise you.

Result: Fair Value of $55.67 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, accelerated disruption from fintech competitors and exposure to commercial real estate could present challenges to U.S. Bancorp’s growth narrative in the years ahead.

Find out about the key risks to this U.S. Bancorp narrative.

Build Your Own U.S. Bancorp Narrative

Prefer to follow your own instincts or challenge the consensus? You can dive into the numbers, shape your own investing story, and do it your way in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding U.S. Bancorp.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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