KeyCorp Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 4/6
KeyCorp's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -24.4%, while the Banks industry saw earnings growing at 4% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 5.1% per year. KeyCorp's return on equity is 10.2%, and it has net margins of 25.6%.
Key information
-24.43%
Earnings growth rate
-27.90%
EPS growth rate
| Banks Industry Growth | 11.18% |
| Revenue growth rate | -5.09% |
| Return on equity | 10.25% |
| Net Margin | 25.59% |
| Next Earnings Update | 20 Oct 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Aug 07
KEY: Bond Repositioning And Commercial Loan Focus Should Drive Measured Repricing Potential
KeyCorp's updated analyst price target moves to $26 from $25 as analysts factor in expectations around stronger net interest income trends, commercial loan growth across its core industry verticals, and flexibility in future capital deployment. Analyst Commentary Recent research on KeyCorp points to a cluster of higher price targets and a generally constructive tone, although views still differ on how much upside is left and how balanced the risk profile is.
Narrative Update • Jul 24
KEY: Fair Outlook Balances Loan Expansion, Fraud Controls And Capital Returns
KeyCorp's updated analyst price target rises by $4 to $22, reflecting analysts' focus on projected improvements in net interest income trends, commercial loan growth across its core industry verticals, and balance sheet flexibility highlighted in recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on KeyCorp points to a generally constructive backdrop, with several large firms lifting price targets after the latest results and preview work.Seeking Alpha • Jul 21
KeyCorp's Margin Expansion Theme Remains On Track
Summary KeyCorp remains a Buy with 7-8% upside and a $25 price target, supported by strong Q2 results and a robust capital position. KEY's net interest margin is expanding due to securities portfolio rollover and disciplined deposit pricing, driving visible earnings growth into 2027. Loan growth is accelerating, focused on business lending, while credit quality and reserves remain solid despite a rise in nonperforming assets. Capital returns are strong with a 3.5% dividend yield and ongoing buybacks, supported by CET1 ratios above target and improving organic growth prospects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jul 10
KEY: Loan Growth And Technology Spending Will Support Higher Future Earnings Quality
KeyCorp's updated analyst price target has increased to $34.66 from $32.76, as analysts factor in revised assumptions around revenue growth, profitability, and future P/E multiples in light of a broad round of recent target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on KeyCorp shows a cluster of higher price targets as bullish analysts factor in updated assumptions around earnings power, loan growth, and P/E multiples ahead of upcoming bank earnings reports.Narrative Update • Jun 26
KEY: Share Repurchases And Loan Mix Should Support Measured Repricing Potential
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for KeyCorp higher by about $0.19 to $25.22, reflecting updated expectations for slightly stronger loan-driven Net Interest Income and modestly adjusted assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around KeyCorp reflects a mix of cautious optimism and lingering concern, with multiple firms adjusting price targets as they revisit loan growth assumptions, Net Interest Income and expense trends.Analysis Article • Jun 20
KeyCorp (KEY) Stock Could Be 9.7% Undervalued As Institutional Backing Draws Focus
Why KeyCorp Stock Is Back in Focus KeyCorp (KEY) is back on investors radars after fresh attention on its high institutional ownership, diversified regional banking model, and a new fixed income offering of senior subordinated notes due 2031. See our latest analysis for KeyCorp. KeyCorp's recent 16.38% 90 day share price return and 45.70% 1 year total shareholder return indicate positive recent performance, as investors respond to its diversified regional banking model, strong institutional...Narrative Update • Jun 08
KEY: Share Repurchases And Credit Quality Should Support Future Repricing Opportunity
Analysts have made only a modest adjustment to the KeyCorp price target in recent weeks, with a mix of small $1 to $2 raises and cuts reflecting updated views on discount rates, long term growth, and P/E assumptions rather than any shift in the underlying fair value estimate of about $25 per share. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around KeyCorp centers on fine tuning price targets rather than wholesale changes to fundamental views, with small upward and downward revisions clustered around the current fair value framework.Narrative Update • May 25
KEY: Loan And Capital Return Should Support Future Repricing Opportunity
Analysts nudged their average price target for KeyCorp slightly higher, by about $0.10 to roughly $25.03. The revised target reflects updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E after a series of recent target changes across the Street.Narrative Update • May 03
KEY: Loan And Capital Return Will Support Future Repricing Potential
KeyCorp's updated analyst price target edges higher to about $24.92 from roughly $24.61, reflecting analysts' adjusted assumptions around discount rates, long term revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples after a mix of recent target hikes and trims across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on KeyCorp shows a mix of higher and lower price targets, with several firms adjusting their views as new information on midcap banks, valuation and macro risks feeds into their models.Narrative Update • Apr 18
KEY: Loan And Capital Return Tailwinds Will Support Future Repricing Potential
Analysts have adjusted the KeyCorp fair value estimate slightly higher to $24.61, reflecting modestly stronger assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple, despite mixed recent price target moves across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on KeyCorp reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions and one upgrade in rating.Narrative Update • Apr 03
KEY: Loan And Capital Return Tailwinds Will Drive Future Repricing Potential
KeyCorp's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower, reflecting minor tweaks to fair value, discount rate, and growth assumptions as analysts balance recent target raises across midcap and regional bank peers with more cautious views on how much upside is already reflected in current valuations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on KeyCorp shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they reassess what is already reflected in the share price.Narrative Update • Mar 20
KEY: Loan Tailwinds And Capital Returns Will Support Future Repricing Upside
KeyCorp's latest narrative update reflects a modestly higher analyst price target, with a cluster of recent revisions toward the $25 to $26 range as analysts point to loan growth, net interest margin trends and capital return as key supports, while debates continue around valuation and sector upside. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on KeyCorp present a mixed picture, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets into the mid 20s while more cautious voices highlight valuation and sector wide constraints.Narrative Update • Mar 06
KEY: Loan Tailwinds And Capital Returns Will Drive Future Upside Potential
KeyCorp's updated analyst price target edges higher to $24.55 from $24.45, reflecting analysts' aggregation of recent target lifts into the mid $20s range as they weigh loan growth, net interest margin, capital return, and a more mixed set of views on regional banks in 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research on KeyCorp reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms lifting price targets into the low to mid US$20s while others question how much upside is left after the stock’s recent move.Narrative Update • Feb 17
KEY: Earnings Resilience And Share Repurchases Will Shape Future Upside Potential
The updated fair value estimate for KeyCorp edges up to about $24.45 from roughly $24.29, supported by analysts highlighting modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions, alongside a series of recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on KeyCorp shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms lifting price targets around the mid $20s and one major downgrade flagging valuation concerns.Narrative Update • Feb 03
KEY: Earnings Resilience And Activist Pressure Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward
Analysts lifted their aggregate fair value estimate for KeyCorp by roughly $0.32 to about $24.29 per share. This reflects updated assumptions around a slightly lower discount rate, more moderate revenue growth, stable profit margins, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple informed by recent price target revisions from several research firms.Narrative Update • Jan 20
KEY: Future Earnings Tailwinds And Activism Tensions Will Shape Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for KeyCorp up from about US$22.80 to roughly US$24.00 per share. This reflects updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples, informed by recent price target hikes from several research firms alongside a more cautious view from others.Analysis Article • Jan 19
KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.205
The board of KeyCorp ( NYSE:KEY ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 13th of March, with investors...Narrative Update • Jan 05
KEY: Future Revenue Momentum And Capital Strength Will Face Activism And Execution Risks
Narrative Update on KeyCorp Analysts have adjusted their KeyCorp fair value estimate slightly higher, from about US$22.22 to roughly US$22.80. This reflects updated price targets between US$21 and US$23 that are supported by views on strong recent results, solid capital and credit quality, and expectations for revenue momentum into 2026.Narrative Update • Dec 15
KEY: Future Revenue Momentum Will Reflect Capital Strength Amid Activist And Sector Tailwinds
Analysts have modestly increased their fair value estimate for KeyCorp, lifting the implied price target by about $0.70 to reflect slightly stronger projected revenue growth, improved profitability, and sustained capital and credit strength highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Street research on KeyCorp reflects a generally constructive stance, with most recent price target revisions still implying upside from current levels despite modest recalibrations.Narrative Update • Nov 29
KEY: Future Revenue Momentum Will Reflect Strong Capital and Market Resilience
KeyCorp's analyst price target experienced a slight decrease to $21 from $22, as analysts cite stronger capital levels and ongoing revenue momentum. This is balanced against a market that already reflects improved guidance.Narrative Update • Nov 15
KEY: Revenue Momentum Will Likely Carry Forward Amid Strong Capital Levels
KeyCorp's analyst price target saw a modest reduction from $22 to $21. Analysts cite strong revenue guidance, robust capital levels, and continued credit quality as key supporting factors for the updated outlook, reflecting cautious optimism.Narrative Update • Nov 01
KEY: Strong Capital Levels And Credit Quality Will Drive Outperformance Through 2026
KeyCorp's analyst price target was lowered slightly from $22 to $21 as analysts cited strong capital levels and solid credit quality. However, they noted that revenue estimates are already reflected in consensus expectations.Narrative Update • Oct 17
Strategic Shifts And Market Expansion Positively Impacting Bank's Profitability And Growth
KeyCorp's analyst price target saw a modest increase to $21.65 from $21.62, as analysts cited the company's top-tier capital levels, strong credit quality, and momentum in revenue and market activity as key factors supporting the higher valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on KeyCorp highlights a dynamic mix of optimism and caution among industry analysts.Narrative Update • Oct 03
Strategic Shifts And Market Expansion Positively Impacting Bank's Profitability And Growth
KeyCorp's fair value estimate has increased modestly from $21.17 to $21.62 per share. Analysts cite improved net interest margin prospects, steady fee income growth, and a more constructive outlook for regional banks as supporting factors for a higher price target.Narrative Update • Aug 18
Strategic Shifts And Market Expansion Positively Impacting Bank's Profitability And Growth
KeyCorp’s price target has been raised to $21.17 as analysts anticipate regional banks’ outperformance amid receding macro risks, sector-wide fundamental improvement, and continued earnings momentum, supported by attractive relative valuation. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight expectations for a regional bank "catch-up" trade, with KeyCorp seen as a major beneficiary due to its superior capital position, strong loan growth momentum, and likely upside in net interest income.Seeking Alpha • Apr 19
KeyCorp: Solid Q1 And Strong Capital Positions It As A Winner
Summary KeyCorp's solid Q1 results and strategic capital raise from Scotiabank have strengthened its balance sheet, positioning it well for a potential economic downturn. Despite a 25% stock decline since my last "buy" rating, I am increasingly bullish due to NII momentum and a robust capital position. Favorable net interest trends and strong reserves, combined with prudent credit quality management, support KEY's resilience amidst economic uncertainties. With a potential 30% upside, I upgrade KEY to a strong buy, expecting shares to recover to $18 by year-end. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 17
KeyCorp: A Dividend Name I Am Starting To Accumulate
Summary KeyCorp's 2024 performance was bolstered by a $2.8 billion investment from Scotiabank, enabling a strategic portfolio repositioning and significant improvements in net interest income. Despite market weakness, KeyCorp's strong investment banking unit, solid loan portfolio, and expected net interest margin growth to 300 basis points by 2026 warranted further investigation. The Scotiabank investment also improved KeyCorp's capital ratios and positions the bank for potential acquisitions, enhancing its value proposition. Trading at a forward P/E of 10.6 and a 5.3% dividend yield, KEY stock appears a dividend name worth accumulating over time. An investment analysis around this regional bank name follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 23
KeyCorp: Strong NII Outlook For 2025
Summary KeyCorp posted solid Q4 earnings, driven by robust investment banking performance and higher net interest income, leading to an optimistic FY 2025 outlook. Despite a valuation recovery post-2023 crisis, KeyCorp remains a hold due to its premium to book value. The bank's trend in provisioning expenses is favorable and KeyCorp benefited from solid balance sheet quality. KeyCorp's FY 2025 net interest income is projected to surge by 20%, supported by securities repositioning, business growth, and a favorable deposit mix. With shares trading at the 3-year average P/B ratio, I see no significant upside going forward and continue to rate shares a hold. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How KeyCorp makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 26 | 7,371 | 1,886 | 4,136 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 26 | 7,201 | 1,802 | 4,061 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 7,007 | 1,685 | 4,005 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 5,934 | 932 | 3,970 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 4,743 | 31 | 3,899 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 4,463 | -120 | 3,813 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 4,239 | -306 | 3,807 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 4,852 | 3 | 3,644 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 5,741 | 716 | 3,631 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 5,747 | 729 | 3,628 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 5,894 | 821 | 3,656 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 6,091 | 1,147 | 3,743 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 6,384 | 1,394 | 3,748 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 6,704 | 1,648 | 3,755 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 6,743 | 1,793 | 3,703 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 7,055 | 2,038 | 3,728 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 7,205 | 2,141 | 3,724 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 7,454 | 2,335 | 3,729 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 7,683 | 2,506 | 3,724 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 7,562 | 2,454 | 3,654 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 7,163 | 2,235 | 3,582 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 6,402 | 1,696 | 3,506 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 5,665 | 1,223 | 3,397 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 5,508 | 1,113 | 3,223 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 5,409 | 1,099 | 3,172 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 5,710 | 1,343 | 3,184 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 6,062 | 1,611 | 3,262 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 5,988 | 1,631 | 3,241 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 6,099 | 1,716 | 3,248 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 6,145 | 1,777 | 3,254 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 6,178 | 1,793 | 3,338 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 6,137 | 1,515 | 3,380 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 6,093 | 1,396 | 3,412 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 6,078 | 1,325 | 3,418 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 6,026 | 1,219 | 3,352 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 5,962 | 1,251 | 3,276 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 5,755 | 1,067 | 3,139 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 5,213 | 867 | 2,867 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 4,724 | 753 | 3,056 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 4,288 | 764 | 2,476 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 4,022 | 815 | 2,389 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 4,035 | 852 | 2,408 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 4,062 | 892 | 2,400 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 4,095 | 914 | 2,378 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: KEY has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: KEY's current net profit margins (25.6%) are higher than last year (0.7%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: KEY's earnings have declined by 24.4% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: KEY's earnings growth over the past year (5983.9%) exceeds its 5-year average (-24.4% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: KEY earnings growth over the past year (5983.9%) exceeded the Banks industry 23.3%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: KEY's Return on Equity (10.2%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/17 22:06 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/17 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
KeyCorp is covered by 46 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Stephen Biggar | Argus Research Company |
| David George | Baird |
| "Jason Goldberg | Barclays |